Reuters — Canadian farmers intend to seed less canola than expected, and will sow record-large areas with pulse crops, according to the government’s first farmer survey of crop sowings for 2016, released on Thursday.
Wheat seedings are also expected to decline, but not as much as traders and analysts expected on average.
Statistics Canada estimated that canola seedings would span 19.3 million acres, down four per cent from last year and below the average trade estimate of 20.4 million acres.
“The market will view this as supportive” to canola prices, said Jerry Klassen, manager of GAP SA Grains and Produits. “The focus now turns to yields. We cannot afford a crop problem with the lower acreage.”
Canola prices are likely to be more sensitive than usual to weather during the growing season, Klassen added.
ICE Futures Canada November canola futures, representing the next crop, rose one per cent in morning trading.
All-wheat plantings were forecast at 23.8 million acres, down one per cent, but topping the average trade expectation of 23.2 million acres. The decline in the category was due to a forecast six per cent drop in spring wheat sowings, to 16 million acres, while durum plantings are expected to rise five per cent to 6.1 million acres.
Back-to-back droughts in India, the world’s largest importer of edible oils and pulses, has boosted prices and made pulses attractive to Canadian farmers, taking up acres that might otherwise have grown spring wheat and canola.
Pulses are an important protein source in the Indian diet.
Farmers intend to plant 5.1 million acres of lentils and 4.3 million acres of peas, which would set new records.
Big pulse crops should boost revenues for processors such as AGT Food and Ingredients, National Bank Financial analyst Greg Colman said in a note on Tuesday.
Canada is the world’s second-largest wheat exporter and the biggest shipper of canola, a cousin of rapeseed used largely to produce vegetable oil. Most planting in Western Canada, the country’s wheat and canola belt, happens in May.
StatsCan surveyed farmers from March 16 to 31.
— Reporting for Reuters by Rod Nickel in Winnipeg and Simon Doyle in Ottawa.