GFM Network News


ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (green line) and July 2021 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Attention turns to new-crop canola

'Somebody's feet will be held to the fire'

MarketsFarm — Wide price swings in the nearby ICE Futures July canola contract over the past few weeks have sent most commercial trade into the new-crop November, with direction in the front month hard to predict given recent volatility. “Where (July canola) finally goes off the board, I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be […] Read more

ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, dark yellow and green lines). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility

"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"

MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible […] Read more



ICE July 2020 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Extradition ruling not the only anchor on canola

MarketsFarm — Although ICE July canola finished $1.30 per tonne lower Wednesday, at $463.50, following a ruling on the extradition of Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou, Wayne Palmer said there’s much more to the decline in the price. While Palmer, a trader with Exceed Grain in Winnipeg, called the ruling “a nail in canola’s coffin,” he […] Read more


ICE Futures July 2020 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola values steady after losses

Weaker loonie supportive for canola

MarketsFarm — Canola prices started the week plagued by reports of the rapidly-spreading coronavirus in China, but managed to shake off some of that resistance. At midweek, nearby ICE Futures canola contracts were between $461 and $470, after falling by over $8 on Monday. Crush margins have maintained strength, which supported canola values. Crush margins […] Read more

ICE July 2019 canola (candlestick) with CBOT July 2010 soybeans (line) for comparison. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Bearish funds keep canola pointed lower

MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola prices fell to their lowest levels since 2014 during the week ended Wednesday, as bearish technical signals and a lack of progress on trade relations with China weighed on values. While a short-covering correction is possible, the underlying fundamentals also remain bearish. Speculators adding to their large net short positions […] Read more



ICE July 2019 canola with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

ICE: Canola weakens on fresh China concerns

Chicago | Reuters — ICE Canada canola futures dropped on Tuesday after China, the top buyer, expanded its ban on Canadian canola seed imports. China’s ban now includes shipments from Viterra, the latest development in a wider trade dispute between the two countries. May canola futures ended $5 lower at $451.70 per tonne. The contract […] Read more



(Dave Bedard photo)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola awaits acreage report

CNS Canada — This week’s acreage estimates from Statistics Canada could bring an end to canola’s recent chart surge upward — or could give futures the impetus to move even higher. The dominant July contract closed Wednesday at $535 per tonne, a gain of $8 from the previous Wednesday’s close. Prairie farmers on Friday will […] Read more