Private weather forecaster WSI said on Jan. 25 it sees a more active Atlantic hurricane season in 2010 than in 2009 as El Nino patterns subside.
WSI’s 2010 forecast called for 13 named storms, seven hurricanes and three intense hurricanes of Category 3 or greater.
The current forecast numbers are more likely to be adjusted upwards rather than downwards as the season approaches, WSI seasonal forecaster Todd Crawford said.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.
The Southeast United States will have an increased risk of hurricane landfall this season, according to WSI, with Georgia and the Carolinas at greatest risk for hurricane landfall.
Last year was the quietest tropical season since 1997 due to an El Nino event and relatively cool tropical Atlantic waters, but El Nino events tend to be followed by more activity, WSI said.
The 2010 forecast numbers are above the long-term average for 1950-2009 of 10 named storms, six hurricanes, and three intense hurricanes, but below the average from the more recent 15-year period of 14 names storms, eight hurricanes and four intense hurricanes.