Klassen: Feeder cattle outlook remains positive

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Published: November 29, 2011

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Western Canadian feeder cattle prices were $2-$4 per hundredweight (cwt) lower on average last week.

Run-of-the-mill red and black large-framed heifers averaging 638 pounds with no special qualities sold for $138/cwt landed in southern Alberta. Red and black Angus steers averaging 600 lbs. sold for $147/cwt in central Alberta. Simmental-red Angus fancy large-framed steer calves averaging 580 lbs. sold for $159 in the Peace River region.

Fed cattle in Alberta reached up to $118, with stronger buying interest from U.S. packers.

U.S. feeder markets were $3-$5/cwt higher. A group of steers in Nebraska averaging 706 lbs. sold for $159/cwt; a mixed blend of 650-lb. heifers brought back $159. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported top quality 8-weight steers averaging 852 pounds sold for $147 in Oklahoma.

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Notice that the western Canadian market is trading at a sharp discount to U.S. values, which should cause feeder exports to increase during December. End-of-year tax buying is coming forward and feedlots are experiencing positive margins; therefore, feeder cattle prices could strengthen by $5-$10 higher over the next month. Barley prices remain firm but world feedgrain and corn prices are expected to trend lower, longer-term.

U.S. third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of two per cent compared to the second quarter, which shows the economy is in an expansionary phase. U.S. at-home food spending has been running 14 per cent above last year, reflecting the stronger demand. Choice wholesale beef prices made new highs last week, causing packing margins to improve.

— Jerry Klassen is a commodity market analyst in Winnipeg and maintains an interest in the family feedlot in southern Alberta. He writes an in-depth biweekly commentary, Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, for feedlot operators in Canada. He can be reached by email at [email protected] or at 204-287-8268 for questions or comments.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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