Feed weekly outlook: Seeding on time in southern Alberta

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Published: April 29, 2022

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(FIle photo)

MarketsFarm — As southern Alberta still reels from the effects of last summer’s drought, one trader expects spring seeding for feed grains to be on time.

“I think it should be on schedule this year,” said Erin Harakal, trade manager for Agfinity Inc. at Stony Plain, Alta.

Planting has already started in some places around Lethbridge, she added.

“A lot of things could happen before May here, but it seems like it should be on schedule for what typically happens normally.”

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For this forecast period, we are starting with a fairly sharp ridge of high pressure over Western Canada and a deep trough of low pressure over Ontario. This setup will keep Alberta and the western half of Saskatchewan in milder air, while Manitoba sees a quick return to more winter-like temperatures.

In its first survey-based principal field crop estimates released Tuesday, Statistics Canada projected a rise in wheat and oat acres compared to last year, as well as declines in seeded area for canola, barley and peas.

These figures are mostly in line with what growers have told Harakal, she said.

“It seems like (producers are growing) more wheat, probably more barley, oats and canola this year. From what we’ve been talking about in the offices, it seems like pea acres might be a little bit down, but it’s hard to say until we get into seeding because things can change.”

Harakal added that corn prices are rising, despite most feedlots being full of grain — and those rising prices have not yet created more demand for feed wheat and barley.

High-delivered bids for feed barley, according to Prairie Ag Hotwire, are $8.64 per bushel in Saskatchewan (up 11 cents from last week), $8.73/bu. in Manitoba (down 14 cents) and $9.80/bu. in Alberta (steady).

Feed wheat traded as high as $12.50/bu. in Saskatchewan (up 50 cents), $12.34/bu. in Manitoba (up 56 cents) and $14.42/bu. in Alberta (steady).

— Adam Peleshaty reports for MarketsFarm from Stonewall, Man.

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