Klassen: Weaker fed cattle spill over into feeder complex

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Published: June 18, 2012

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Alberta packers bought slaughter cattle in the range of $110-$112 per hundredweight last week, down $3/cwt from a week earlier in June. Packers have finished purchases for the July 4 weekend; therefore, the market was experiencing softer demand.

Sluggish fed cattle prices caused feeder cattle to trade $2-$5/cwt lower in comparison to a week earlier. Lighter-weight feeders under 500 pounds were steady with week-ago levels. U.S. direct slaughter cattle traded $3 lower in Kansas at $119/cwt. Auction market volumes continue to decline in line with the seasonal tendency.

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Mixed age-verified steers averaging 620 lbs. sold for $152/cwt in the Edmonton area. Angus-cross steers weighing 720-760 lbs. sold for $155/cwt in central Alberta but similar cattle were selling $4-$5/cwt less in other parts of Alberta and Saskatchewan. Weight-controlled backgrounded mixed heifers weighing 800 lbs. sold for $130/cwt in southern Alberta.

The industry is expecting Friday’s U.S. Department of Agriculture report to show a large year-over-year increase in May placement numbers, which will result in larger-than-expected cattle on feed. The deferred futures appear to be factoring in a larger supply situation in the fourth quarter. However, lighter-weight feeders that will be sold in the first quarter of 2013 are firm as February live cattle futures carry a $5 premium over the October contract.

Lower gas prices and stronger equity markets were not able to turn the cattle market higher. Consumer confidence has fallen since April due to slow hiring and a depressing business environment. Uncertainty over Europe has also plagued headlines and the negative news has put fear into the average consumer. There appears to be a contraction in household expenditures after the overly optimistic spring splurge.

— Jerry Klassen is a commodity market analyst in Winnipeg and maintains an interest in the family feedlot in southern Alberta. He writes an in-depth biweekly commentary, Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, for feedlot operators in Canada. He can be reached by email at [email protected] for questions or comments.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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