Klassen: Weather factors influence calf prices

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Published: February 22, 2022

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Compared to last week, western Canadian yearling markets traded $4 lower to as much as $5 higher. Mid-weight feeder cattle traded relatively unchanged with strong demand noted on steers. Steer calves were firm, trading $2-$5 higher while heifer calves traded $4-$5 on either side of unchanged.

The market was hard to define for calves and there was a wide range of prices across the Prairies. Major feeding operations in Alberta are contending with a backlog of market-ready fed cattle supplies, which continues to limit demand for heavier replacements. On the flipside, there was an increase in lighter-weight feeder cattle placements last fall; therefore, market forecasts call for a year-over-year decline in yearling supplies from March through April. Some operations are stepping up before the yearling market heats up later in spring.

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North of Saskatoon, a larger group of black Limo mixed steers weighing 940 lbs. were valued at $182; south of Edmonton, Simmental-blended heifers averaging 920 lbs. with full health records with medium flesh levels on light grain diet were quoted at $167. Northwest of Winnipeg, a smaller group of Charolais-based steers weighing 830 lbs. reportedly sold for $198; tan heifers weighing 820 lbs. with heavier flesh dropped the gavel at $165. Closer to Lethbridge, larger-frame Angus-based steers weighing 875 lbs. were quoted at $190. There were certain pockets in Alberta and Saskatchewan where yearling demand suffered and the market was $2-$4 lower than last week.

Manitoba and Saskatchewan experienced adverse temperatures last week while southern Alberta weather was favourable for bringing in fresh replacements. Calf markets were premium in southern Alberta over other regions of Western Canada. Near Lethbridge, larger-frame black steers weighing 610 lbs. were valued at $240 and similar-quality heifers weighing 575 lbs. were quoted at $211. In central Alberta, mixed steers on light grain and silage ration with full health records weighing 615 lbs. dropped the gavel at $215. In central Saskatchewan, larger-frame red steers weighing 535 lbs. were quoted at $230. Mixed heifers weighing 620 lbs. were valued at $183 in southwestern Saskatchewan. Demand for heifer calves was rather sluggish across the Prairies as extreme temperatures resulted in a small risk discount.

The cooling of the Pacific Ocean (La Nina) tends to result in a cool and wet growing season across the Canadian Prairies. Analysts are expecting a recovery in Canadian barley production and a larger volume of feed wheat next fall. Pasture conditions will be in good shape throughout the spring and summer. This will result in strong demand for calves moving forward.

— Jerry Klassen is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339 or via his website at ResilCapital.com.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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