U.S. grains: Corn, soy, wheat end lower as market awaits USDA reports

Grain trade also monitoring Brazil

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Published: January 10, 2023

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CBOT March 2023 corn with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. corn futures fell on Monday for the sixth time in seven sessions and wheat and soybeans finished mostly lower, as investors weighed weather-reduced production in some areas of South America against tepid demand for U.S. supplies.

Wheat futures also retreated as late-session technical selling eroded earlier support from a weaker U.S. dollar and fund short-covering.

Chicago Board of Trade March wheat ended down 2 cents at $7.41-1/2 per bushel (all figures US$). March soybeans fell four cents to $14.88-1/2 a bushel while March corn was down 1-1/4 cents at $6.52-3/4 a bushel.

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U.S. grains: Soy futures top one-week high, US crop outlook limits gains

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures hit their highest level in more than a week on Thursday as technical buying helped the market recover from a three-month low reached on Monday, analysts said.

Grain traders remained cautious ahead of Thursday’s global crop supply-and-demand estimates from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). In the report, USDA is expected to cut its corn and soy production outlook for drought-hit Argentina but also raise its estimate of U.S. grain and soybean supplies.

“The question going into the report is whether the USDA will lower the South American production and supply numbers enough to offset weakening demand that the market has already built in,” said Mike Zuzolo, president of Global Commodity Analytics.

USDA on Monday reported weekly grain export inspections for corn, soybeans and wheat near the low end of a range of trade estimates. U.S. exports have struggled to compete in the global marketplace with cheaper South American supplies.

Grain traders are also monitoring developments in Brazil, where supporters of far-right former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed government buildings on Sunday. The Brazilian real weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday, making the country’s crop exports even more affordable than U.S. supplies on the global market.

— Reporting for Reuters by Karl Plume in Chicago; additional reporting by Michael Hogan in Hamburg and Naveen Thukral in Singapore.

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Karl Plume

Reuters

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