U.S. livestock: Cattle futures pull back to start February

Trump delays tariffs on Mexico

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Published: February 3, 2025

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Photo: jjmiller11/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Live and fed cattle futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange stepped back on Monday, moving further away from highs reached in late January.

Tariffs to be imposed by United States President Donald Trump dominated the early trade. The markets came away from Monday’s lows after Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said she would deploy 10,000 National Guard troops with Trump indicating he will delay any tariffs on Mexico until March 1.

Meanwhile Trump will discuss tariffs with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau this afternoon. A conversation between the two leaders this morning did not produce any firm results. Trudeau said over the weekend Canada would retaliate with 25 per cent tariffs on a wide variety of U.S. imports.

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The USDA and AAFC differ on Canada’s canola ending stocks for 2025/26, while an analyst says both agencies are wrong. Photo: Greg Berg

Large gap in canola ending stocks between AAFC, USDA

There’s a 760,000-tonne difference in the ending stocks for Canada’s 2025/26 canola crop respectively estimated by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and the United States Department of Agriculture. Aside from that, the canola data from AAFC and the USDA remain quite similar.

The April live cattle contract still gave up 2.150 cents per pound at 200.150 cents

March feeder cattle futures lost 5.225 cents per pound at 270.500 cents per pound.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported wholesale boxed beef prices were higher Monday morning, with choice boxes climbing $3.55 at $331.23 per hundredweight and select boxes rising $3.74 at $320.81.

Lean hog prices were mostly lower on Monday, with the April contract down limit 4.000 cents per pound on Monday at 86.350 cents.

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