Glacier FarmMedia—Most of Canada should see warmer than normal temperatures during the summer months, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada’s (ECCC) seasonal forecast as of May 31.
The Prairie provinces have at least a 60 per cent chance of having above-normal temperatures during the months of June, July and August, with at least an 80 per cent chance in Manitoba.
Most of Eastern Canada will almost certainly see warmer temperatures this summer, while most of Western Canada will see at least a 40 per cent chance. Only B.C.’s West Coast and parts of western Yukon are expected to see normal to below-normal temperatures.
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Prairie forecast: Mild start before winter pushes back in
For this forecast period, we are starting with a fairly sharp ridge of high pressure over Western Canada and a deep trough of low pressure over Ontario. This setup will keep Alberta and the western half of Saskatchewan in milder air, while Manitoba sees a quick return to more winter-like temperatures.
Southern Alberta and Saskatchewan, as well as parts of northeastern Alberta, central Saskatchewan and northern Manitoba, will have a 40 per cent chance of having a drier summer than normal. The southernmost parts of Alberta will be the driest in the country at more than 50 per cent.
Parts of northeastern B.C., northern Ontario, western Quebec, western Labrador and southern Nova Scotia were projected to have a 40 per cent chance of drier than normal conditions. On the other end, B.C.’s West Coast will have an up to 60 per cent chance of being wetter than normal.
