ICE Canada Morning Comment: Canola gives up early increases

Despite gains in soy, palm oil, rapeseed

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Published: November 7, 2024

By Glen Hallick

Glacier Farm Media MarketsFarm – Intercontinental Exchange canola futures turned lower on Thursday morning, despite spillover from increases in the Chicago soy complex.

Gains in European rapeseed and Malaysian palm oil also lent support to canola. Crude oil was moderately lower, putting pressure on the vegetable oils.

The January canola contract returned above its major moving averages after dipping below its 20- and 200-day averages.

Canola crush margins bumped up with the January positions close to C$128 per tonne above the futures.

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There are concerns in the trade that China could impose some kind of punitive measure against Canadian canola in the next few days. It’s believed China has been buying as much canola as they can before any retaliation against Canada for hiking tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles, steel and aluminum.

The Canadian dollar pushed higher on Thursday morning with a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement this afternoon. The loonie rose to 72.09 U.S. cents compared to Wednesday’s close of 71.76.

Approximately 10,500 contracts were traded by 8:42 CST and prices in Canadian dollars per metric tonne were:

                          Price      Change

Canola            Jan     645.40     dn  2.20

                  Mar     656.60     dn  2.60

                  May     665.30     dn  1.60

                  Jul     670.80     dn  0.20

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