CNS Canada –– Canola futures burst through the psychologically-important $500 per tonne mark during the week ended Wednesday, but now face a critical juncture as weather and time will dictate how much of the remaining crop farmers can get off before winter. “Harvest prospects don’t look that great right now as it doesn’t dry up […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola watches weather amid uptick in price
ICE weekly outlook: Harvest to keep market rangebound
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts have a softer tone, but are likely to stay rangebound in the short term, one analyst says. “We’re not looking for a significant breakout,” said Jerry Klassen, manager of Canadian operations with Swiss-based GAP SA Grains and Produits in Winnipeg. He pegged canola’s short-term range between $450 […] Read more
High canola crush margins should boost demand
Reading Time: < 1 minute Recent strong canola crush margins may have a positive impact on producers, says a provincial crop analyst. While companies don’t release their actual crush margin, it can be estimated from canola, meal and oil futures markets, said Neil Blue. “The current calculated margin is over $100/tonne, and this compares to about $40/tonne last August,” said […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Stocks add softer undertone to market
CNS Canada –– A stocks report from Statistics Canada has changed the dynamic of the canola market, one analyst says, though prices are not expected to plummet. Statistics Canada estimates canola stocks at 2.016 million tonnes as of July 31. The government agency also upwardly revised year-ago production numbers. “It causes a fairly significant shift […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola sees ‘bump in a bear market’
CNS Canada — News that China would delay its implementation of stricter dockage restrictions on Canadian canola shipments gave ICE Futures Canada contracts a boost on Wednesday, but values are still trending lower overall. “It’s a bump in a bear market,” said analyst Errol Anderson of Pro Market Communications in Calgary, on the initial reaction […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola watching China before harvest
CNS Canada — The canola market continues to watch and wait for the Chinese and Canadian governments to resolve a dispute over the amount of dockage allowed in imports of Canadian canola. Until that happens, canola may face growing pressure between now and next week. On Sept. 1, China is scheduled to lower the amount […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Traders watch China, production numbers
CNS Canada –– Two main factors are dominating the ICE Futures Canada canola market, one analyst says, as prices are poised to meet resistance in the near-term. “The market is looking for some signs of resolution around this Chinese dockage situation, and it just continues to bring a lot of uncertainty,” said Jonathon Driedger, market […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola looks to widen out range
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts appear poised to chop around a new $20 trading range ahead of the harvest. The front-month canola contract had been down at $446 per tonne to start the week (Aug. 3-10) until speculator activity and spillover gains from vegetable oil helped bring it up to the $460 […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola sitting right above support
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts moved lower during the week ended Wednesday, but held above major support as prices remain relatively cheap compared to other oilseeds. Fund traders adding to short positions were behind much of the weakness in canola, although traders said the net short position was reaching the point that […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Weather market ahead
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola prices edged up on the week, propped up by soggy Prairie fields and the anticipation for warm, dry weather in the U.S. Going forward, the market will be dominated by fund trading and weather-watching. “Funds are net short right now, and that’s something different, because we’ve rallied back […] Read more
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