MarketsFarm — Concerns over the likelihood of a much smaller canola crop than previously anticipated, coupled with a very tight supply situation, continued to underpin values this week. That price rationing in turn has kept canola more expensive than other edible oils, according to trader Keith Ferley of RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg. “The market […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola remains expensive
ICE weekly outlook: Something of a tough week for canola
MarketsFarm – It was a bit of a tough week for canola on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), although there was something of a bright spot after the release of the August supply and demand estimates from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). As one trader put it, canola did its job by increasing in […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Volatility expected in canola markets
MarketsFarm – The ICE Futures canola market saw some large price moves during the week ended Aug. 4, hitting their lowest levels in a month as investors booked profits before recovering to hold relatively range-bound overall. More choppiness is expected over the next few weeks, as the market waits to get a better handle on […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola range-bound, awaiting harvest
MarketsFarm – ICE Futures canola contracts held within a relatively narrow range during the week ended July 28, as traders wait to get a better handle on the size of the Canadian crop. “We’re just waiting to see as we get into harvest what the crop size and crop yields look like,” said Jamie Wilton, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola corrects, but trend still up
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts posted some wide price swings over the week ended Wednesday, moving lower overall as the market backed away from nearby highs and speculative profit-taking weighed on values. “The trend is higher, but you can’t go up forever,” said trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. While rains during […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Attention turns to new-crop canola
'Somebody's feet will be held to the fire'
MarketsFarm — Wide price swings in the nearby ICE Futures July canola contract over the past few weeks have sent most commercial trade into the new-crop November, with direction in the front month hard to predict given recent volatility. “Where (July canola) finally goes off the board, I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola still climbing, watching beans
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market has trended higher for the past five months and showed no signs of slowing down in mid-November, with prices hitting fresh contract highs on a number of days. January canola hit a session high of $571.40 per tonne, and settled Wednesday at $569.40. Aside from a brief blip […] Read more
Canola prices have been ‘a pleasant surprise,’ says analyst
Production issues here and abroad, Chinese demand, and speculators have all played a role in rally
Reading Time: 2 minutes There are several factors behind the rally in canola prices, says provincial crop analyst Neil Blue. On the supply side, lower production of palm oil began to support those prices back in the spring, he said, adding the primary driver of canola prices are the vegetable oil markets, of which palm oil is the largest […] Read more
U.S. investor to buy Prairie canola ‘streaming’ firm
All-cash deal offers $97.5 million for Input Capital
A U.S. investor has stepped forward with an all-cash bid for the Regina company that brought “streaming” to the Prairie canola marketing business. Input Capital, which in February last year began to review options such as a sale or merger to “enhance shareholder value,” said Wednesday it has a deal to sell all of itself […] Read more
High stocks-to-use ratio weighs on canola
MarketsFarm — The Canadian canola stocks-to-use ratio was over 20 per cent at the end of 2019 — significantly higher than the five-year average of 13.4 per cent. “That’s part of the reason why we’re seeing downward pressure on canola prices,” Craig Klemmer, chief agriculture economist for Farm Credit Canada (FCC), explained during his presentation […] Read more