MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts saw some choppy activity during the week ended Wednesday, but the general trend remains pointed lower. “Whenever canola rebounds, it doesn’t go as high,” analyst Errol Anderson of Pro Market Communications in Calgary said. Anderson described the chart pattern as a “falling top,” with previous attempts at recovery in […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola futures continue trending lower
Funds add to bearish bets in canola
MarketsFarm — The speculative net short position in the ICE Futures canola market grew during the week ended Tuesday, as fund traders added more bearish bets, according to the latest commitment of traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures canola came in […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola trending lower
November down below $800
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved lower during the week ended Wednesday and could be due for more weakness as seasonal harvest pressure picks up over the next few weeks. “That $800 level has been a very important price support point,” said David Derwin, commodities investment advisor with PI Financial in Winnipeg, pointing to […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Crush margins guiding canola demand
MarketsFarm — Enormous canola crush margins will lead to increased demand for the Canadian oilseed, according to MarketsFarm’s director of markets and weather Bruce Burnett. As of Tuesday, the nearby November-October margins were estimated at $215.51 per tonne, while the same position for November-October 2023 now stands at $124.48/tonne. This time last year their margins […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Time gap too large in StatCan report
Canola's potential yields shrank in meantime
MarketsFarm — There has been about a one-month gap in between Statistics Canada having gathered its data for next week’s principal crops report and actually releasing the report. That’s something trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg finds irksome. “They’re using computer models of some kind. You would think they could get this out […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola could take a nosedive
'I think (farmers) are undersold'
MarketsFarm — A huge drop in canola prices could be looming, according to analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain in Winnipeg. Palmer pointed to Prairie farmers and said, “I think they are undersold.” He surmised too many farmers have held off from selling their canola, in hopes of getting a great price the next time […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Late canola crop hinges on weather
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market held within a narrow range during the week ended Wednesday, with weather conditions heading into harvest likely to dictate the eventual price direction over the next few weeks. “The key right now is the late state of the crop,” said Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary, noting […] Read more
Speculative net short position grows in canola
MarketsFarm — The speculative net short position in ICE Futures canola grew during the week ended Tuesday, as fund traders liquidated long positions and opened some new shorts, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Benign weather weighs on canola
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts were seeing choppy activity in mid-July but were under pressure overall, closing at their weakest levels in six months on Wednesday. Relatively favourable Prairie weather, speculative long-liquidation, and pressure from outside markets all weighed on values with more losses likely if no weather concerns develop. “The weather looks fairly […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Don’t bank on canola prices jumping higher
MarketsFarm — As canola remained steadfast in its following of Chicago soyoil, analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain stressed that the days of higher prices have very likely passed. “Farmers are tremendously undersold. This latest sell off took them totally by surprise,” he said. After August soyoil made some gains over the last week, it […] Read more
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