MarketsFarm — Although there will be some bounces in ICE canola futures, there is very little currently to sustain any increases in bids, according to Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications. While the market has stabilized for the time being, it’s technically oversold, Anderson said. The market can rebound $5-$10 per tonne, he said, but it’s […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Little to sustain canola bids in bear market
Fund short position climbs in canola
MarketsFarm — Fund traders were active in the ICE Futures canola market during the week ended Tuesday, adding to their large net short position, according to the latest commitment of traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). According to the latest report, managed money and other reportable speculators increased their net […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Trade among issues hurting market
MarketsFarm — ICE canola futures are in trouble for a number of reasons, according to Exceed Grain senior marketing analyst Wayne Palmer. “We’re in a lot of trouble unless Trump signs this deal with China,” he said. Reports have stated the U.S. and China will sign a trade agreement at the end of March. U.S. […] Read more
Fund short position rises in canola
MarketsFarm — Fund traders added to their net short position in ICE Futures canola contracts during the week ended Tuesday, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). After being delayed by the U.S. government shutdown, the CFTC was finally up to date with its […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: China worries keep market trending down
MarketsFarm — Canola futures on the ICE Futures U.S. platform dropped sharply during the week ended Wednesday, hitting their lowest levels in 2-1/2 years. Concerns over declining Chinese demand sparked the latest selloff in canola amid news that the major canola-buying country had blocked shipments from Canada’s Richardson International. Canadian canola exporters have faced problems […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: More losses likely for soft canola
ICE canola futures fell to fresh contract lows during the week ended Wednesday and could be due for more losses with little supportive news on the horizon. “Unfortunately the technicals and fundamentals are tremendously bearish,” said analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain Marketing, adding “fresh contract lows breed fresh contract lows.” While optimism over trade […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Oversold canola still fundamentally bearish
ICE canola futures are starting to look oversold after falling contract lows during the week ended Wednesday. While a short-term technical correction is possible, the underlying fundamentals remain bearish. “Canola might be a little bit short-term oversold,” said Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. Signs that exports were perking up could also be supportive, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola grinding lower
ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively steady during the week ended Wednesday, with a softer tone in old-crop contracts and strength in new-crop months. The general trend is likely pointed lower in the near future, with any developments in trade talks between the U.S. and China likely to provide some direction. “The market is awaiting […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Farmers advised to price some new crop
ICE Futures canola contracts held within a narrow trading range during the week ended Wednesday, as participants await fresh market-moving news. While the sideways trading range could persist in the near term, an analyst said new-crop futures were at decent levels and encouraged farmers to do some forward pricing. The November canola contract settled Wednesday […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola waits on trade talks, USDA reports
ICE canola futures are quiet at the end of January, but could see some movement from outside influences in the coming weeks, according to Exceed Grain senior marketing analyst Wayne Palmer. “Everybody is waiting to see what’s going to happen with the Chinese/United States (trade) talks,” he said. Two days of high-level trade negotiations between […] Read more
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