CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts trended higher over the past month, but appear to be running into resistance from a chart standpoint. Seasonal price trends, however, should see values continue their uptrend over the next month. The most-active November contract has now traded above the $500 per tonne level for five straight […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Seasonal uptrend possible for canola
ICE weekly outlook: Canola looks to USDA for direction
CNS Canada — The canola market continues to chop around in its recently-established range of $490-$500 per tonne, but a looming U.S. Department of Agriculture report could change that, according to an industry analyst. “That (USDA supply and demand report) is going to be the driver,” said Keith Ferley of RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg. […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola facing uphill climb
CNS Canada — Bearish headwinds facing the canola market may have gotten slightly worse, after the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announced it was considering cuts to biofuel requirements in U.S. fuel. The EPA said Tuesday it was looking for feedback on proposed reductions to the renewable fuel obligations in the 2018 and 2019 Renewable Fuel […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola rangebound, watching harvest
CNS Canada — Canola futures moved steadily higher over the course of the week ended Wednesday, but remain firmly entrenched in a sideways trading range as seasonal harvest pressure continues to limit the upside. “Most of the markets are still just killing time… everybody is just monitoring things to see where they go next,” said […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola rangebound at harvest time
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola futures remain stuck in a rather narrow range, with seasonal harvest pressure weighing on the one side while solid demand provides support on the other side. “We’ve been in a sideways trading environment for 2-1/2 years, and I don’t see that changing,” said Mike Jubinville of ProFarmer Canada. […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola rises, post-report
CNS Canada — It was an eventful week for the ICE Futures Canada canola market as many in the trade were preparing for the release of Statistics Canada’s crop production report on Thursday. While the report is always taken lightly because it relies on month-old data, it still gives participants some sense of how the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola sinks below $500
CNS Canada — As canola heads towards harvest some bearish headwinds have popped up that are keeping the front-month contract below the $500 mark. “There’s been a big reversal since the (U.S. Department of Agriculture) report,” said Keith Ferley of RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg. USDA late last week projected the U.S. soybean crop at […] Read more
Crude oil bearishness seeps into canola market
CNS Canada — The falling price of crude oil is a bearish force weighing on many agricultural commodities, including canola, according to a Prairie market analyst. “Crude oil has been a driver of this weakness,” said Errol Anderson, president of ProMarket Communications in Calgary. In the past month, crude oil dropped roughly US$9 per barrel […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola headed down, looking for spark
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts were up and down during the week ended Wednesday, with the bias turning lower as losses in outside markets weighed on values. Canola lost $10 in two days, with a slide in soyoil and crude oil futures behind some of the spillover weakness. “We’re not getting any […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: More losses likely for bearish canola
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts posted large losses during the week ended Wednesday, and could be headed even lower, as bearish technicals and weakness in global economic markets outweigh supportive fundamentals. “We’re going into a seasonally slower demand period,” said Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications. A downgrade of China’s credit by Moody’s […] Read more
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