Glacier FarmMedia MarketsFarm — Australian wheat production has been projected to drop in 2025/26 by 3.11 million tonnes, according to the United States Department of Agriculture attaché in Canberra. The attaché projected the country’s wheat output at 31 million tonnes for the coming marketing year.
The Canberra desk said it’s expecting harvested area for 2025/26 to slip from 13.06 million hectares to 12.90 million due to dry conditions in parts of South Australia and Victoria. Also, yields are to decline to 2.40 tonnes per hectare from 2.61 following better-than-expected production in Western Australia.
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The country’s wheat exports are projected to step back in the coming marketing year because of the reduced production. The Canberra desk pegged exports at 23 million tonnes, down three million from 2024/25.
China is expected to remain Australia’s top foreign buyer, accounting for 25 per cent of its wheat exports. The attaché suggested that could increase given China’s 15 per cent tariff on United States wheat imports.
The attaché raised total consumption by 100,000 tonnes at 8.10 million due to more wheat being used for feed. However, ending stocks were bumped by 100,000 tonnes at 3.32 million tonnes.
Among Australia’s other grains, the attaché lowered barley production to 12.50 million tonnes for 2025/26 from 13.27 million in 2024/25. Sorghum output is to improve to 2.50 million tonnes in the coming year from 2.30 million this year.
