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A low angle photo of snow melting with some large steel grain bins in the background under a clear blue sky in early spring.

Prairie spring forecast: What weather models predict for March to May

Models disagree on whether Prairie farmers face warm or cool conditions this spring, with the author favouring one forecast over others

Reading Time: 2 minutes Weather models offer varied outlooks for Prairie spring. This forecast review compares Old Farmer’s Almanac, NOAA, CFS, CanSIPS, and ECMWF predictions for March through May temperatures and precipitation.



Weather models are still not showing a sustained push of true spring conditions across the Prairies. Photo: Getty Images Plus

Prairie forecast: Arctic air dominates the forecast

For this forecast period, it appears we will need to wait a little longer for spring to arrive. Weather models continue to show a northwesterly flow across the region, but this time the dividing line between mild and cold air has shifted slightly farther south. As a result, near to below-average temperatures are expected across much of the Prairies.







Seven day precip chart as jpeg.

How Earth evens out the energy input

Weather is what happens when Earth balances its energy from the sun on a global scale

Reading Time: 4 minutes Earth has surpluses of radiation in its equatorial regions, and deficits toward its poles. Our weather is a matter of Earth trying to even out the imbalance, Daniel Bezte writes.


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