Reading Time: 4 minutes Glacier FarmMedia – We live in strange times, says a veteran market analyst. “I look at these markets as bipolar in some cases,” said Mike Jubinville, senior analyst with MarketsFarm. “On one hand, the macroeconomics have potentially bearish demand implications as fears of a recessionary environment take hold. But on the other hand, we have […] Read more

These are anything but normal times in the markets, says analyst
There’s not one, but three, powerful new factors at play — war, tight supplies, and rising interest rates

U.S. grains: Wheat sags on Black Sea export deal extension
Chicago corn turns higher
Chicago | Reuters — U.S. wheat futures dropped to a 2-1/2-month low on Thursday after the United Nations announced an agreement to extend a grain corridor for exports from war-torn Ukraine. Soybean futures fell on worries about demand as top global buyer China struggles with COVID-19 lockdowns. But corn turned higher as strong weekly U.S. […] Read more

IGC makes small alterations to monthly report
MarketsFarm — There was very little in the way of changes in the November supply and demand report from the International Grain Council (IGC). The most notable alteration made by the London-based global organization was its four million-tonne reduction to 2022-23 wheat ending stocks, now at 282 million tonnes. The IGC lowered exports from 70 […] Read more

U.S. grains: Soybeans follow soybean oil lower
CBOT wheat, corn retreat
Chicago | Reuters — U.S. soybean futures fell nearly two per cent on Wednesday, anchored by a profit-taking plunge in soyoil and crude oil futures, traders said. Wheat and corn futures declined on optimism about an extension of a deal to protect Black Sea exports, and as fears eased that the Ukraine war could escalate […] Read more

CBOT weekly outlook: Cordonnier sees little change in U.S. corn, soy yields
MarketsFarm — As corn and soybean harvests in the United States wrap up for 2022-23, one analyst believes there will be little change in the yields determined by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Dr. Michael Cordonnier of Soybean and Corn Advisor Inc. at Hinsdale, Ill. said USDA’s November call of 172.3 bushels per acre […] Read more

Cordonnier stands pat on South American crop projections
La Nina 'is still out there,' analyst says
MarketsFarm — At this point in the South American planting season it’s too early to get an accurate bead as to how much corn and soybeans will be grown in Brazil and Argentina, according to Dr. Michael Cordonnier of Soybean and Corn Advisor Inc. at Hinsdale, Ill. Cordonnier recently issued his latest estimates, keeping his […] Read more

U.S. grains: Wheat, corn up on reports of Russian missiles hitting Poland
January soybeans also close higher
Chicago | Reuters — U.S. grain futures rallied on Tuesday as reports that Russian missiles crossed into Poland raised concerns about escalating political tensions, market analysts said. A senior U.S. intelligence official said Russian missiles crossed into Poland, killing two people, the Associated Press reported. The Pentagon said it could not confirm reports that Russian […] Read more

Fund position switches to net long in canola
Net long in CBOT corn decreases on the week
MarketsFarm — The overall speculative position in the ICE Futures canola market swung from net short to net long during the first week of November, marking the first time speculators were holding more longs than shorts in four months. That’s according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures […] Read more

U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn end lower as crude oil sags
Chicago December wheat firms
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean and corn futures fell on Monday on spillover pressure from crude oil along with uncertainty about export demand for U.S. supplies of both crops, analysts said. But wheat futures rose on signs of global export demand while traders continued to monitor prospects for the renewal of an export corridor […] Read more

U.S. grains: Soy futures up on China COVID curbs, weakening U.S. dollar
Corn market gains boosted by strength in crude oil market
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat, corn and soybeans rose on Friday, underpinned by strong commodities and equities markets, as well as hopes that China’s easing of COVID-19 restrictions could boost demand. Soybeans bounced on hopes that China’s move to ease some COVID-19 curbs might spur economic activity, potentially boosting demand for goods including soybeans. […] Read more