”The worry now is that if we apply the brakes too hard and slow down the economy too much, we will tip ourselves into recession.” – Mike Jubinville.

These are anything but normal times in the markets, says analyst

There’s not one, but three, powerful new factors at play — war, tight supplies, and rising interest rates

Reading Time: 4 minutes Glacier FarmMedia – We live in strange times, says a veteran market analyst. “I look at these markets as bipolar in some cases,” said Mike Jubinville, senior analyst with MarketsFarm. “On one hand, the macroeconomics have potentially bearish demand implications as fears of a recessionary environment take hold. But on the other hand, we have […] Read more

CBOT December 2022 soft red winter wheat (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (green line), MGEX December 2022 hard red spring wheat (yellow line) and K.C. December 2022 hard red winter wheat (orange line). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat sags on Black Sea export deal extension

Chicago corn turns higher

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. wheat futures dropped to a 2-1/2-month low on Thursday after the United Nations announced an agreement to extend a grain corridor for exports from war-torn Ukraine. Soybean futures fell on worries about demand as top global buyer China struggles with COVID-19 lockdowns. But corn turned higher as strong weekly U.S. […] Read more





File photo of growing corn plants. (Peggy Greb photo courtesy ARS/USDA)

CBOT weekly outlook: Cordonnier sees little change in U.S. corn, soy yields

MarketsFarm — As corn and soybean harvests in the United States wrap up for 2022-23, one analyst believes there will be little change in the yields determined by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Dr. Michael Cordonnier of Soybean and Corn Advisor Inc. at Hinsdale, Ill. said USDA’s November call of 172.3 bushels per acre […] Read more

File photo of a soybean plantation in Brazil. (Mailson Pignata/iStock/Getty Images)

Cordonnier stands pat on South American crop projections

La Nina 'is still out there,' analyst says

MarketsFarm — At this point in the South American planting season it’s too early to get an accurate bead as to how much corn and soybeans will be grown in Brazil and Argentina, according to Dr. Michael Cordonnier of Soybean and Corn Advisor Inc. at Hinsdale, Ill. Cordonnier recently issued his latest estimates, keeping his […] Read more


CBOT December 2022 soft red winter wheat (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (black line), MGEX December 2022 hard red spring wheat (yellow line) and K.C. December 2022 hard red winter wheat (orange line). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Wheat, corn up on reports of Russian missiles hitting Poland

January soybeans also close higher

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. grain futures rallied on Tuesday as reports that Russian missiles crossed into Poland raised concerns about escalating political tensions, market analysts said. A senior U.S. intelligence official said Russian missiles crossed into Poland, killing two people, the Associated Press reported. The Pentagon said it could not confirm reports that Russian […] Read more

(File photo by Dave Bedard)

Fund position switches to net long in canola

Net long in CBOT corn decreases on the week

MarketsFarm — The overall speculative position in the ICE Futures canola market swung from net short to net long during the first week of November, marking the first time speculators were holding more longs than shorts in four months. That’s according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures […] Read more


CBOT January 2023 soybeans with Bollinger bands (20,2). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soybeans, corn end lower as crude oil sags

Chicago December wheat firms

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean and corn futures fell on Monday on spillover pressure from crude oil along with uncertainty about export demand for U.S. supplies of both crops, analysts said. But wheat futures rose on signs of global export demand while traders continued to monitor prospects for the renewal of an export corridor […] Read more

CBOT February 2023 soybeans with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Soy futures up on China COVID curbs, weakening U.S. dollar

Corn market gains boosted by strength in crude oil market

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago wheat, corn and soybeans rose on Friday, underpinned by strong commodities and equities markets, as well as hopes that China’s easing of COVID-19 restrictions could boost demand. Soybeans bounced on hopes that China’s move to ease some COVID-19 curbs might spur economic activity, potentially boosting demand for goods including soybeans. […] Read more