Long-range forecasts for April and June from the CFS weather model. April is expected to be cooler than average for much of Alberta and Saskatchewan, while June's forecast is for warmth right across the Prairies.

Bezte: What the weather forecasters predict for this spring

As usual, you wouldn’t want to bet the farm on these 
predictions but it’s always fun to see who comes closest

Reading Time: 3 minutes By an overwhelming amount, the No. 1 question I’ve had over the last couple of weeks is what will the spring be like? While I usually wait until the end of the month to do the look-ahead forecast, I will use this article to go through each of the medium- and long-range forecasts to see what they […] Read more

This map shows the total amount of precipitation that has fallen across the Prairies so far this growing season (April 1 to Aug. 27). You can see just how dry it has been this year across the southern and central Prairies. A large part of this region has seen less than 250 millimetres over this five-month period, with large parts of Saskatchewan and southwestern Alberta seeing less than 200 millimetres. The only ‘wet’ area is in northwestern Saskatchewan and 
north-central Alberta where precipitation amounts are in the 400- to 500-millimetre range.

There are extreme rains, and then the deluge caused by Harvey

Some parts of Texas received more rain in 24 hours than 
Prairie centres have seen in their wettest-ever month


Reading Time: 2 minutes As fairly quiet weather continues across the Prairies, the big weather story recently has been Hurricane Harvey, which came ashore in Texas late on Aug. 26. Harvey rapidly strengthened in the 12-hour period leading up to landfall and came ashore as a borderline Category 4 hurricane, with top winds of 210 kilometres per hour. It wasn’t […] Read more


This map is rather interesting as it shows the average date when the maximum temperature for the year occurs throughout the United States and Canada. On the Prairies, you can see that the main grassland region typically experiences the warmest temperatures of the year in late July and early August. Farther north the warmest temperatures occur in mid- to late July.

The physics of lightning and why ‘if it roars, go indoors’ is good advice

Tornadoes, wind, and hail grab the headlines but it’s lightning 
that typically poses the biggest danger

Reading Time: 3 minutes To wrap up our look at severe thunderstorms, we’re going to revisit how lightning is thought to form and then take a look at some lightning facts and safety tips. Tornadoes, wind, and hail often make the headlines when it comes to thunderstorms, but it is lightning that is often the biggest threat. For this […] Read more

This map shows the total amount of precipitation that has fallen across the Prairies so far this growing season compared to historical values. It continues to be a dry start to the growing season across nearly 
all of Manitoba and much of Saskatchewan, with wide areas reporting values that are very low to extremely low. 


Diving a little deeper into summer weather and tornadoes

Tornadoes are nearly impossible to study but we do know a lot 
about the mechanics of how they form

Reading Time: 3 minutes In this instalment, we’ll continue our look at severe thunderstorms, and specifically, the most deadly part — tornadoes. While eastern parts of the Prairies have only seen a few isolated severe thunderstorms, parts of Saskatchewan and Alberta have already seen their fair share. I think most Canadians were more than impressed, and maybe a little bit […] Read more


This map shows the amount of precipitation compared to average that fell across the Prairies over the 30-day period ending on May 25. It continues to be a tale of east versus west, with most of Alberta reporting average to above-average amounts, while in Manitoba amounts have been well below average. In Saskatchewan, southern and eastern regions have been dry while northern sections have been wet.

Tornado season is upon us — here’s what to watch for

The area between the storm and cloud, clouds with bags hanging from them, and the wind are keys in spotting the danger

Reading Time: 3 minutes So far in our look at severe summer weather, and in particular thunderstorms, we have looked at how thunderstorms form, how they can grow into severe thunderstorms, and finally, how hail is produced. Next up on the severe thunderstorm list is tornadoes! Before we begin our look at tornadoes though, I think we have to […] Read more

This time I thought I'd take a break from precipitation maps. These temperature graphs for Red Deer (chosen because it is the most central location in Alberta) show the daily maximum and minimum temperatures along with the departure from average for the last 365 days (ending on May 13). Looking at the pattern in the centre graph, it will be interesting to see what the next month might hold in store for Alberta. Will we continue to see a shorter and less pronounced warm spell? Or will we see a rebound since the last below-average period was less intense than the previous ones?

Cooking up thunderstorms with Mother Nature

Severe thunderstorms are a fascinating phenomena and you need 
the right conditions to come together

Reading Time: 4 minutes Thunderstorm season isn’t too far off so we’ll continue our annual look at what is arguably one of the most fascinating weather phenomena we see in our part of the world. I always like to begin our look at thunderstorms by touching upon one of my biggest weather pet peeves, which is when people mix […] Read more


This map shows the total amount of precipitation as a departure from the long-term average for the 30-day period ending on April 27. Nearly all of Alberta saw above-average amounts during this period, with only a small pocket in the south and far north seeing below-average amounts. The driest region during this period was in south-central Saskatchewan along with western and extreme southern parts of Manitoba.

April didn’t bring much joy — and Alberta had the worst of it

Statistically, it wasn’t absolutely miserable but a dry stretch and a 
return to average temperatures would be most welcome this spring


Reading Time: 3 minutes Another month has come and gone, and depending on where you live it was either a near-average April or you were cold and wet. Listening to the general talk about April’s weather, you would probably come to the conclusion that most areas across the Prairies had a miserable month. But in reality, most places experienced […] Read more

This map shows pasture soil moisture levels as of the end of March compared to the long-term average. A large part of Alberta has near- to slightly above-average amounts of soil moisture. Parts of the Peace River and northern regions are going into the spring with well-above-average amounts.

Weather school is back in session — here are the basics of thunderstorms

How does solar energy result in thunderstorms? 
The answer lies with conduction, convection, and latent heat

Reading Time: 3 minutes With temperatures slowly starting to heat up across the Prairies, thoughts turn towards summer and summer weather, and in my case, I begin thinking about thunderstorms. After a very active summer last year, I thought it might be time to look at this topic again. I also thought it would be a good idea to take […] Read more


This map shows the total amount of precipitation that has fallen across the Prairies so far this winter (Nov. 1 to March 16). You can see that the wettest regions have been across southern Manitoba and into southeastern Saskatchewan along with extreme western Alberta. The driest regions were found north of Edmonton, southwards to east-central Alberta, and then eastwards towards Regina.

Springtime can be the ‘right time’ for really big snowstorms

When a buildup of warm, moist air from the south collides with 
cold arctic air, your snowblower can get a real workout

Reading Time: 3 minutes With spring officially here, the last thing most people want to hear about is snow. But the way this winter and spring have been going, who knows? Springtime across the Prairies tends to bring some of the biggest snowfalls of the year. Several years ago I dug into this topic, but I figured it was time […] Read more

This map shows the total amount of precipitation for Alberta during the three official winter months (December to February) as compared to average. You can see the northern region along with the Peace River region saw well-below-average amounts of precipitation during this period. Central and southern regions saw near-average amounts, with a few locations in the south receiving above-average amounts.


Warm weather wins out in this crazy up-and-down winter

The recipe was simple but unusual: Send in warm weather, 
then a big blast of cold, and repeat all winter long

Reading Time: 3 minutes From a climatological point of view, winter is now over. The 12-month year is broken into four equally long seasons, with winter covering December, January, and February. From a southern and central Alberta view, there is still one month to go. For most of the Canadian Prairies, winter starts in November and usually ends in March. In some […] Read more