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Prairie forecast: Temperature rollercoaster to continue

Forecast issued April 16, covering April 16 to 23, 2025

Spring is the toughest time to forecast, but this spring is being particularly tough. The atmosphere is in a very meridional flow right now. That means there are lots of troughs and ridges. So, instead of a persistent westerly flow across our region we are seeing warm southerly flows as ridges build, followed by cool northerly flows as the ridges collapse and are replaced by troughs of low pressure.

Heading into spring, much of the Prairie region has average soil moisture, according to the Palmer Drought Index, with the western part of the region showing above-average levels. The largest areas with below-average soil moisture are the northern part of the Peace region, a pocket straddling the central border of Manitoba and Saskachewan, and a similar pocket at the southern portion of that provincial boundary.

Sea ice continues shrinking

The last few years have seen some of the smallest sea ice coverage, plus a look into the continued spring melt on the Prairies

Reading Time: 4 minutes The last few years have seen some of the smallest sea ice coverage, plus a look into the continued spring melt on the Prairies.


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Prairie forecast: Warm start, unsettled weekend across extreme south

Forecast issued April 9, covering April 9 to 16, 2025

When we have these battles between warm and cold air, there's always a good chance for a storm system or area of low pressure to develop. We've seen this happen a few times this spring and looking at the latest medium range weather models, the Prairies are likely in for a few more storms as the battle continues.

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Prairie forecast: Two lows and a high

Forecast issued April 2, covering April 2 to 9, 2025

This forecast period looks to be be defined by two areas of low pressure, one spinning off the west coast and the other spinning over eastern Canada. Exactly how these two lows behave a move will have a big impact on temperatures across the central and eastern Prairies.


Spring weather on the Prairies is a messy thing

Spring weather on the Prairies is a messy thing

Alberta’s spring, along with the other Prairie provinces, has a lot of chaos built in as seasons change and summer tries to assert itself

Reading Time: 4 minutes Alberta’s spring, along with the other Prairie provinces, has a lot of chaos built in as seasons change and summer tries to assert itself

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Prairie forecast: Spring storm could bring significant snow

Forecast issued March 26, covering March 26 to April 2, 2025

We start this forecast period with a strong area of low pressure pushing in off the southern coast of B.C. This low will bring very mild temperatures to southern Alberta on Wednesday and into Thursday. It will then help to develop an area of low pressure over south-central regions early Thursday morning.


File photo of moose in a Saskatchewan field. (BobLoblaw/iStock/Getty Images)

Prairie forecast: Spring battle between warm and cold continues

Forecast issued March 19, covering March 19 to 26, 2025

For this forecast period the weather models are showing a fairly quiet weather pattern will only a couple of chances of light snow as weak systems track along the boundary between the cold Arctic air to our north and milder air to the south. This is the big question mark for this forecast period: just where will this boundary be?

Spring runoff on April 27, 2022 at the Pembina Escarpment near Miami, Man., about 40 km northwest of Winkler. (Manitoba Co-operator/Allan Dawson video screengrab)

Prairie forecast: Dreaded Colorado low on the radar

Forecast issued March 12, covering March 12 to 19, 2025

As I mentioned in last weeks weather article, March and April can see some of the biggest snowstorms of the year. While I don't think this one will be one for the record books, there's the potential for some wintery weather across the Prairies between now and the end of the weekend.


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Prairie forecast: Very mild west, slowly warming east

Forecast issued March 5, covering March 5 to 12, 2025

As we ease into what can be the stormiest and snowiest time of the year on the Prairies, the big question is—are we going to see a late winter snowstorm? Well, I can say that we won’t. What I can say is the odds are low in this forecast period.