Crop condition ratings declined a further 4 points this week to 60 per cent good/excellent, compared to the 5 year average of 74 per cent. Hot, dry weather continues to cover the South region and is now affecting significant portions of the east half of the Central region and parts of the NE region. Heavy rains across northern portions of the North East and North West regions have again placed crops under stress due to excessive moisture. Light showers throughout much of the Peace helped maintain crop condition ratings in the region. Current provincial ratings remain well above those of the worst 2 years in the past 10 year period, being 2009 (23 per cent g/e) and 2015 (30 per cent g/e).
Provincial soil moisture ratings showed a significant decline due to worsening dry conditions in the Central region and an increase to excessive moisture ratings in the North East and North West. Surface moisture is currently rated 47 per cent good/excellent. Subsoil moisture is rated 55 per cent good/excellent. Hay/pasture ratings declined 7 points to 58 per cent good/excellent with significant declines seen in all regions except the Peace region.
The first set of dryland yield estimates have been completed. Based on the current conditions, overall yield is projected to be in line with the 5 year average (2012-2016) which includes the bumper year of 2013. It should be noted that the dry conditions in 2015 had an overall effect on yield of approximately 10 per cent below the 5 year average.