CBOT weekly outlook: Investors look for quick buys in corn

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Published: November 16, 2017

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(Lisa Guenther photo)

CNS Canada — Pressure continues to build on the Chicago Board of Trade corn market but there could be a glimmer of hope as traders look for places to park money ahead of next week’s U.S. Thanksgiving Day holiday.

“I think people are looking for a place to buy the market here in a short-term move,” said Jack Scoville, a senior market analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.

During the week ended Wednesday, the December corn contract fell five cents to $3.365 per bushel (all figures US$).

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Bargain buying and short covering lifted U.S. corn futures on Monday after the market slid to contract lows on expectations for strong U.S. output, traders said.

A disappointing weekly export sales report weighed on the market to cap off the week, but Scoville said there are enough traders looking to make a short-term move to provide some hope.

“There’s still plenty of crop out there.”

The soybean market also suffered losses on the week, falling from last Thursday’s lofty perch of $9.85 a bushel, down to $9.72.

“We’re obviously in a slow zone and not really doing a lot; export sales were disappointing,” said Scoville.

Futures could drop as low as $9.50-$9.60 a bushel, he said.

“We’re fading against a $9.80 resistance,” he said. “So it does look like we put in a short-term top.”

Basis levels have also been firming up, he said.

— Dave Sims writes for Commodity News Service Canada, a Winnipeg company specializing in grain and commodity market reporting.

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