Feed weekly outlook: Prairie markets hold steady

U.S. corn imports keep lid on domestic grains

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Published: February 3, 2023

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

MarketsFarm — Feed grain markets in Western Canada have seen little change over the past few weeks.

Feed barley bids across Western Canada have generally held steady over the past month, with the spot market topping out at $9.58 per bushel in Alberta, according to Prairie Ag Hotwire data. Prices in Manitoba and Saskatchewan are off the Alberta levels, with the top end in those provinces at $7.83 and $8 per bushel respectively.

Feedlots remain relatively well covered for the time being, with steady corn imports from the U.S. expected to remain a limiting factor for prices going forward.

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Prairie forecast: Quiet pattern continues as winter struggles for a foothold

For the upcoming forecast period, a large area of low pressure remains anchored off the British Columbia coast, a strong low spins over the Atlantic coast and another, weaker low lingers near Hudson Bay. Between these systems, the flow across the Prairies is largely zonal, meaning it moves west to east with little north–south movement. That pattern will help usher a few weak disturbances across the region during the next several days.

However, while corn is coming up, the corn business remains well off the year-ago level. Since September, Canada has imported 196,300 tonnes of U.S. corn as of Jan. 26, according to the latest U.S. Department of Agriculture report. That’s well off the 1.31 million tonnes of imports seen at the same time the previous year when drought conditions limited domestic grain supplies. There are 257,000 tonnes of outstanding business still to move, also off the 1.99 million tonnes outstanding a year ago.

On the export front, Canada exported 1.57 million tonnes of barley through the first five months of the 2022-23 marketing year, with China accounting for 92 per cent of the total movement, according to Canadian Grain Commission data. That compares with 1.48 million tonnes by the same point the previous year, when China also accounted for over 90 per cent of the business.

Statistics Canada is set to release updated stocks data showing supplies in the country as of the end of the 2022 calendar year on Tuesday. The data should provide a better indication of domestic usage to date.

— Phil Franz-Warkentin reports for MarketsFarm from Winnipeg.

About the author

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Phil Franz-Warkentin

Editor - Daily News

Phil Franz-Warkentin grew up on an acreage in southern Manitoba and has reported on agriculture for over 20 years. Based in Winnipeg, his writing has appeared in publications across Canada and internationally. Phil is a trusted voice on the Prairie radio waves providing daily futures market updates. In his spare time, Phil enjoys playing music and making art.

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