Glacier FarmMedia — Corn production in Mexico is to improve to 25 million tonnes in 2025/26, while the country’s wheat crop is to recede a little, said the United States Department of Agriculture attaché in Mexico City.
More corn
While corn output is set to increase by 1.80 million tonnes from 2024/25, the country’s corn imports are to remain steady at 25 million tonnes. The attaché said Mexico’s harvested corn area is to nudge up by 100,000 hectares at 6.60 million, and yields are to climb from 3.60 tonnes per hectare to 3.79.
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The greater production is due to “above-average precipitation that has replenished reservoirs in Sinaloa ahead of the fall/winter cycle,” the Mexico City desk wrote. However, they noted Mexico’s spring/summer corn faced below normal rainfall, although the National Water Commission deemed soil moisture levels as adequate.
Despite forecasts for a larger corn harvest in 2025/26, the attaché said Mexico’s corn imports will remain the same rather than dropping back due to demand from the country’s feed sector.
In 2025/26 feed and residual use is to increase to 28.30 million tonnes from 26.90 million the previous year. That will boost total consumption to 49.80 million tonnes from 48.20 million a year ago.
Although total distribution of Mexico’s corn was projected to rise by nearly 1.78 million tonnes at 55.76 million, the carryover is to increase as well to 5.93 million tonnes from nearly 5.76 million in 2024/25.
A bit less wheat to be grown
Mexico is to see its wheat production fall to 1.75 million tonnes from 2.65 million harvested last year due to drought, low profitability and high farm debt, the attaché wrote. In turn, the country’s dependence on wheat imports will increase in 2025/26 to 6.50 million tonnes from 5.53 million.
The harvested wheat area is to decline to 320,000 hectares from 468,000, with yields slipping to 5.47 t/ha. from 5.66.
The attaché placed Mexico’s total wheat supply at 9.07 million tonnes versus 8.95 million a year ago. Total consumption is to change a little, up 100,000 tonnes at 8.10 million. Ending stocks were projected to rise to 867,000 tonnes from 817,000 in 2024/25.
