MarketsFarm — Very few major changes were made in the latest edition of the world agriculture supply and demand estimates (WASDE) published Friday by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. For the 2023-24 crop year, USDA pegged total domestic wheat production at 1.665 billion bushels, slightly higher than the 1.659 billion in the department’s May estimates. […] Read more

USDA’s June WASDE report brings few notable changes
Canadian wheat harvest expectation unchanged

ICE weekly outlook: Canola finds support from funds, weather
Crude oil markets also a factor
MarketsFarm — After being in a steady decline over the past month, the ICE Futures canola market was on the rise for the week ended Wednesday. The July canola contract closed Wednesday at $670.30 per tonne, an increase of $20.70 from the week before. Meanwhile, the November canola contract rose $22.60 per tonne over the […] Read more

Fund traders add to bearish bets in canola
Funds also net short in MGEX and CBOT wheat, corn
MarketsFarm — Speculative fund traders added to their net short position in canola during the week ended May 30, putting on more bearish bets while also liquidating some previous longs, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of May 30, the net managed money short […] Read more

Repeat of record Australian wheat, canola crops unlikely
ABARES expects 2023-24 crop down on year
MarketsFarm — After growing record-large wheat and canola crops in 2022-23, Australia is expected to see a significant drop in production in 2023-24 as developing El Nino weather patterns will likely cut rainfall through the growing season, according to the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES). […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Hard to know where canola will go
'Could easily make a case either way'
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts fell hard to end the month of May, dropping to levels not seen in more than two years. While the oversold market may be due for a correction, there could also still be more room to the downside. “It’s hard to have a real solid opinion of whether we’ll […] Read more

April grain deliveries see increases all around
Barley deliveries up sharply
MarketsFarm –– Producer deliveries of major grains last month were up nearly 40 per cent when compared to April 2022, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan). In April 2023 more than 3.44 million tonnes of grain were delivered, versus 2.46 million a year ago. The uptick in deliveries continued to demonstrate the sizeable harvest farmers reaped […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Don’t bank on $700 canola, analyst suggests
Fresh bullish news not yet in view
MarketsFarm — New-crop canola prices on ICE Futures seemed to be destined to remain well below $700 per tonne, according to analyst Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary. “The market tends to be back where it came from,” Anderson said, stressing that chances of canola pushing higher requires fresh bullish news. “It’s got to […] Read more

Speculative short position declines in canola
Traders' net long in CBOT soy also reduced
MarketsFarm — The speculative short position in canola continued to shrink during the week ended May 15, as speculators bought back short positions and put on new longs, according to the latest Commitments of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of May 15, 2023, the net managed money short position […] Read more

Canola, palm oil prices track closely
Reading Time: < 1 minute After diverging from palm oil last fall, canola oil is once again tracking close to its lower-priced cousin, says one provincial crops market analysts. “There are times like last fall when canola seed had relative price strength, but overall, the price correlation has been high during the past year,” Neil Blue said in a recent […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Unclear where canola wants to go
Soy complex's trend much more apparent
MarketsFarm — While the ICE Futures canola market declined during the week ended Wednesday, the oilseed has been affected by a mixture of supports and pressures, according to commodities futures advisor David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The July canola contract dropped $20.60 per tonne during the week to close at $714.10 on Wednesday, […] Read more