MarketsFarm — As the rally in canola on ICE Futures continued Wednesday, an analyst stressed it’s not when this upswing ends, but where. David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg spoke of when canola prices were falling, and they broke through that psychological barrier of $800 per tonne on their way down. “That was the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Not a matter of when, but where canola peaks
Prevailing trend remains downward
Canola fund short position still rising
Managed money net long in soybeans
MarketsFarm — The size of the fund short position in continued to rise in early March, according to the latest Commitments of Traders data out from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of March 7, the net managed money short position in canola came in at 46,222 contracts (61,998 short/15,776 long), an increase […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola continues its collapse
Limited demand, more farmer selling seen
MarketsFarm — After losing $62 per tonne the week before, the May contract on the ICE Futures canola market extended its losses for the week ended Wednesday with little relief on the horizon. Winnipeg-based trader Jerry Klassen of Resilient Commodity Analysis said the massive selloff is the result of farmers realizing there wouldn’t be a […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: No floor in sight for overdone canola
'A lot of money playing around in canola right now'
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market was in freefall mode through the first half of March, hitting its weakest levels in over a year. While the losses may be looking overdone, the bottom remains to be seen. “This has been a brutal drop in canola,” said Bruce Burnett, director of markets and weather with […] Read more
Canola crush of 2022 smallest in five years
Meanwhile, soybean crush rose on the year
MarketsFarm — Statistics Canada (StatCan) reported that 2022 had the smallest domestic canola crush for a calendar year since 2017. As well, 2022 marked the smallest canola oil production in five years and the least amount of canola meal produced in four years. The sharp reduction of canola being crushed was due to the 2021 […] Read more
Confirmation of large canola short position slowly appears
CFTC data flow slowly resuming
MarketsFarm — The size of the fund short position in canola rose in February and likely grew even larger in March, as weekly Commitments of Traders data slowly trickles out from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). CFTC data has stalled since a ‘cyber-related incident’ delayed the release of the data for weeks. As […] Read more
Reading between the lines: Oversold canola due for correction
Technical signs point to possible recovery
MarketsFarm — Canola futures posted sharp losses over the past week, with the May contract touching its weakest level in six months. While damage was done from a chart standpoint, there are technical signs that a recovery is possible. RSI The relative strength index (RSI) is a technical indicator that provides insight into whether a […] Read more
Canola industry ready to move forward
The Canola Council of Canada celebrated a return to normalcy at its annual meeting at the Canadian Crops Convention in Ottawa. “Our theme this year is ‘from adversity to opportunity’ and I think that’s very fitting,” said Jim Everson, the group’s president. Production has rebounded following the drought of 2021, meaning there’s opportunity to develop […] Read more
USDA sees increased EU canola imports, no extra from Canada
U.S. also projects higher Canadian ending stocks
MarketsFarm — The European Union will likely import more canola (rapeseed) this year than earlier thought, but any increased movement should come from Australia or Ukraine rather than Canada, according to updated projections from the U.S. Department of Agriculture. USDA raised its forecast for European rapeseed imports during the 2022-23 marketing year by 550,000 tonnes, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Upswings likely out of question for canola
Canada's exports expected to ebb
MarketsFarm — Don’t expect any large increases in canola prices any time soon, according to Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. In fact, there’s a good chance seen that old-crop canola could fall below its support level of $800 per tonne. Ball said 2022-23 canola ending stocks in Canada could increase because of the […] Read more
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