Reading Time: 4 minutes Glacier FarmMedia – We live in strange times, says a veteran market analyst. “I look at these markets as bipolar in some cases,” said Mike Jubinville, senior analyst with MarketsFarm. “On one hand, the macroeconomics have potentially bearish demand implications as fears of a recessionary environment take hold. But on the other hand, we have […] Read more
These are anything but normal times in the markets, says analyst
There’s not one, but three, powerful new factors at play — war, tight supplies, and rising interest rates
ICE weekly outlook: Premium showing in front-month canola
'Surge' of farmer selling expected in January
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market held rangebound during the week ended Nov. 16, with the widening premium of the nearby January contract over the March futures seen as a sign of good nearby demand. ICE January canola settled Wednesday at $882.40 per tonne, a $10.50 per tonne premium over the March contract. That […] Read more
Fund position switches to net long in canola
Net long in CBOT corn decreases on the week
MarketsFarm — The overall speculative position in the ICE Futures canola market swung from net short to net long during the first week of November, marking the first time speculators were holding more longs than shorts in four months. That’s according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the U.S. Commodity Futures […] Read more
They’re crushing it: Canola plants seeing big-time profits
High crush margins mean demand should stay strong, but premiums for growers are scarce
Reading Time: 3 minutes Canola crush profits are high, but that’s no reason for growers to break out the champagne, say Alberta producers. Crush plants are riding a wave of demand and processed about 794,000 tonnes of seed in September, the most in a year. And with crush margins well above $200 per tonne for futures contracts (more than […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Trader sees canola topping $900 mark soon
Crush margins at 'very, very extreme levels'
MarketsFarm — Despite surpassing the $900 per tonne mark at times during the week ended Wednesday, ICE Futures’ January canola contract never settled above that psychological level. Rising prices prior to the weekend later gave away to selling pressure after the weekend due to a correction in vegetable oil prices, according to broker Ken Ball […] Read more
Fund short position in canola dips to four-month low
Net long increases in CBOT soybeans
MarketsFarm — Speculators were busy covering short positions and putting on some fresh longs in the canola market during the week ended Nov. 1. That lowered the net short position in the ICE Futures canola market to its smallest level since the beginning of July, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled […] Read more
Canadian canola oil content up in 2022: Preliminary CGC data
The average oil content of Canada’s canola crop edged higher in 2022 compared to the previous year, according to preliminary data from the Canadian Grain Commission released Nov. 1. Oil content for number one quality canola across Western Canada ranged from 34.9 to 49.2 per cent, with the average coming in at 42.7 per cent. […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Watch for canola to climb higher
MarketsFarm – There’s the possibility of the nearby January canola contract reaching upwards to C$1,000 per tonne, according Winnipeg-based analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain. “I think you got canola somewhere in the winter months maybe trading close to $1,000 again in January,” he said. Palmer placed his suggestion on the sharp upticks that soyoil […] Read more
Manitoba nets average crops in 2022 after wet spring
MarketsFarm – Wet spring conditions delayed seeding operations across much of Manitoba to start the 2022 growing season, but warm summer conditions allowed for good development with yields for most crops showing a marked improvement over the drought-stricken 2021 harvest, according to the final crop report of the season from Manitoba Agriculture. On a crop-by-crop […] Read more
Strong commodity prices to continue: FCC
Reading Time: < 1 minute Farm Credit Canada is forecasting “another year of excellent crop prices,” albeit with big declines for some crops. The ag lender predicts canola will average $870 a tonne this crop year, which is $100 below the 2021-22 average but well above the five-year average of $490. FCC forecasts spring wheat prices to average $430 a tonne […] Read more
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