MarketsFarm — Canadian canola exports during the 2021-22 marketing year are forecast to be smaller than earlier projections, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) reported late Friday. Domestic usage, however, was raised in the report, keeping ending stocks of the crop steady with the October forecast. Total Canadian canola exports in 2021-22 are now forecast at […] Read more
AAFC lowers canola export forecast
Domestic canola usage raised; other crops largely unchanged
ICE weekly outlook: Canola trade starts rolling out of January early
MarketsFarm — Action has begun somewhat sooner than expected for traders rolling out of the January canola contract on ICE Futures, according to trader Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. The main reasons are the massive size of the long position and tight supplies of canola. However, he wasn’t entirely sure if the price […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s trend line still pointed higher
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market strengthened during the week ended Wednesday, hitting fresh highs in many contract months. “The trend remains up,” analyst Mike Jubinville of MarketsFarm Pro said. “The price of canola needs to be put at a level that discourages exports, while the domestic crushers actively pursue attaining as much of […] Read more
Canadian canola oil content well below average
Canada’s hot and dry growing season in 2021 cut into the oil content of the country’s canola crop, with preliminary data pointing to the second-lowest oil content of the past two decades. Preliminary sample data compiled by the Canadian Grain Commission shows average oil content for number one quality canola in 2021/22 at 41.9 per […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Crude oil at heart of canola’s fate
MarketsFarm – As gains in global crude oil prices have been largely behind the increases in edible oil values, any losses in crude will lead to declines in the edibles. Such was the case on Nov. 3 when crude oil took a dip, pulling down soyoil on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) as well […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola speculators running market higher
MarketsFarm – ICE canola futures posted solid gains during the week ended Oct. 27, hitting fresh contract highs in many months as speculators added to their net long positions. “The specs have canola by the throat, and they’ll see how far they can run it,” said Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. He said […] Read more
Feds tighten forecast for wheat carryout
MarketsFarm — Canadian wheat carryout for the 2021-22 crop year will be even tighter than earlier forecasts, according to updated supply/demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC), released Wednesday. The October report included only minor adjustments for most crops, with the most notable change from September being a 500,000-tonne reduction in projected wheat ending […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola rally keeps going
Not yet back at $1K, but it's possible
MarketsFarm — With good gains from other edible oils, canola has remained on the rise so far during the week of Oct. 18. It’s uncertain as to how much longer the rally could press on, but analyst David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg said canola punching through $1,000 per tonne again is possible. “Never […] Read more
ICE canola futures’ daily limit expanded to $60
MarketsFarm — The daily price limit (DPL) for canola futures contracts on the ICE Futures platform will rise to $60 per tonne starting Nov. 1, the exchange announced Tuesday. The DPL determines how much a contract can move in a given session above or below the previous settlement. The new level compares with the current […] Read more
The scramble is on for canola
Reading Time: < 1 minute The country’s smallest canola harvest in 13 years is forcing importers such as Japan and Mexico to pay more or scramble for supplies elsewhere. Both export markets and domestic crushers are coming up far short of normal supplies. Exports were only 388,000 tonnes in the first seven weeks of the new crop year (which began […] Read more
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