MarketsFarm — Although canola has continued to be rangebound, one analyst believes prices are due for a downward shift toward the low end of the spectrum. “Gravity is going to pull it back down to the low end of the range, and $10-$15 [per tonne] wouldn’t be surprising,” said David Derwin, an analyst with PI […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola values could fall further
ICE weekly outlook: Canola bids return to being range-bound
MarketsFarm – Until the New Year expect canola bids to remain range-bound much like it was during the summer, according to one Winnipeg-based analyst. “Canola going C$10 lower isn’t out of the question,” commented David Derwin, commodity portfolio manager with PI Financial. Below normal temperatures on the Prairies coupled with rain and snow have provided […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound
MarketsFarm — One canola trader wouldn’t go so far as to calling the canola market lifeless, but it has remained rangebound for most of the week. That’s mainly due to pressure from harvest activity, which has carried on at an impressive pace on the Canadian Prairies despite being mired with difficult weather conditions. “I’ve talked […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola values stay rangebound
MarketsFarm — Canola prices have been characterized as “firm one day and softer the next,” this week, remaining largely rangebound in light trading activity. “It’s hard to tell why, but canola oscillates between stronger than soybeans and then weaker,” said Ken Ball of P.I. Financial in Winnipeg. “It’s just spreaders playing back and forth with […] Read more
Input Capital cuts costs as delayed sales lift Q3 profit
A hostile canola export market has left “commodity streaming” firm Input Capital paring back its staff count and halting its sales and marketing efforts. The publicly traded Regina company on Tuesday booked adjusted net income of $1.06 million on $4.95 million in adjusted total revenue for the quarter ending June 30, up from about $249,000 […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Not much faith in USDA’s WASDE
MarketsFarm — For one trader, the monthly world agriculture supply and demand estimates (WASDE) from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), aren’t something he spends a lot of time dealing with. “I don’t put a lot of faith in them,” said David Derwin of PI Financial in Winnipeg. This month’s WASDE could be something toward […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Little for canola bids to stand on
MarketsFarm — There wasn’t much available to sustain a bounce in canola prices, from where David Derwin sits. “It’s really tough to say. We had canola drop so much over the last couple of months and sometimes it’s ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact,’” said Derwin, a commodities portfolio manager with PI Financial in Winnipeg. […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Bearish funds keep canola pointed lower
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola prices fell to their lowest levels since 2014 during the week ended Wednesday, as bearish technical signals and a lack of progress on trade relations with China weighed on values. While a short-covering correction is possible, the underlying fundamentals also remain bearish. Speculators adding to their large net short positions […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola hinges on iffy U.S.-China deal
MarketsFarm — Canola contracts one the ICE Futures platform held within a narrow range during the week ended Wednesday, waiting for a catalyst to push futures one way or the other. To Errol Anderson of ProMarket Communications in Calgary, canola’s path is connected to a trade deal between the U.S. and China, which be a […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola waits on trade talks, USDA reports
ICE canola futures are quiet at the end of January, but could see some movement from outside influences in the coming weeks, according to Exceed Grain senior marketing analyst Wayne Palmer. “Everybody is waiting to see what’s going to happen with the Chinese/United States (trade) talks,” he said. Two days of high-level trade negotiations between […] Read more
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