Chicago | Reuters — Low water levels on the lower Mississippi River are likely to persist through at least January despite expected above-normal precipitation across the southern U.S. this winter, forecasters with the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said on Thursday. The severe to exceptional drought choking the lower Mississippi River valley is expected to […] Read more

Low water on Mississippi to persist despite improved drought outlook
Risk of getting stuck mean less grain per barge

El Nino worries Brazil soy farmers as planting progresses, grain lobby says
Dry weather has pushed back planting
Sao Paulo | Reuters — Soybean farmers in top growing state Mato Grosso worry that scarce rains and high temperatures will lead to replanting of some areas while lowering yields in others, local grain farmer lobby Aprosoja-MT said Thursday. The unusual heat and dryness has been linked to the El Nino weather pattern, which is […] Read more

Rest of September to be warmer than normal for Prairies
Southern Prairies to remain drier than normal
MarketsFarm — As summer turns to autumn on the Canadian Prairies, the weather outlook for the rest of September is for temperatures to be warmer than normal, according to Scott Kehler, chief scientist for Weatherlogics. One of the factors in those forthcoming temperatures is the El Niño that has been developing over the last several […] Read more

Australian crop estimates adjusted slightly lower
Crop seen down 34 per cent from last year
MarketsFarm — Total 2023-24 winter crop production in Australia, at an estimated 45.2 million tonnes, is expected to be 34 per cent off the record highs hit last year but slightly above the June forecast as upward revisions to canola and barley counter a downward revision to the wheat number, according to the latest crop […] Read more

How El Niño threatens emerging market economies
Significant changes to rainfall, or prolonged droughts, could also impact hydropower output, boost food, fuel prices
London | Reuters – Countries around the world are battling heatwaves and floods fueled by El Niño, a naturally occurring climate phenomenon that has a 90 per cent probability of persisting in the second half of 2023, according to the World Meteorological Organization. The worldwide impact can be enormous, but the stakes are higher for […] Read more

Pulse weekly outlook: Dryness to cut into Australian production
MarketsFarm — Dry conditions and low soil moisture reserves in key Australian growing regions, along with expectations for developing El Nino weather patterns, are expected to cut into the country’s pulse production in 2023-24, despite steady to higher seeding intentions for several crops, according to the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural […] Read more

A hot, dry Prairie June ahead
El Nino pattern could arrive
MarketsFarm — June is expected to see a continuation of the hot and dry weather most of the Canadian Prairies has experienced in May, according to Scott Kehler, chief scientist for Weatherlogics. “It looks like late spring/early summer is pretty hot across almost all of Western Canada. The Prairies are all above normal [temperature-wise],” Kehler […] Read more

CBOT weekly outlook: Traders, analysts anticipate WASDE report
El Nino also worth watching longer-term
MarketsFarm — While traders and analysts continue to keep an eye on weather conditions, their collective focus will momentarily shift on Friday when the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) releases its monthly world agricultural supply/demand estimates (WASDE). This month’s report will be highly significant as it will announce the first U.S. crop production estimates for […] Read more

World could face record temperatures in 2023 as El Nino returns
New record highs 'more likely than not'
Brussels | Reuters — The world could breach a new average temperature record in 2023 or 2024, fuelled by climate change and the anticipated return of the El Nino weather phenomenon, climate scientists say. Climate models suggest that after three years of the La Nina weather pattern in the Pacific Ocean, which generally lowers global […] Read more

Argentina soybeans expected to go from horrible to great
El Nino expected to improve growing conditions
MarketsFarm — While Argentina is headed to one of its worst soybean harvests in decades, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) attaché in Buenos Aires projects a huge turnaround in 2023-24. Argentina is the world’s third-largest grower of soybeans — a fair amount less than Brazil and the U.S., but a lot more than other […] Read more