Canadian canola and pea ending stocks may end up considerably larger at the close of the 2025/26 marketing year than originally thought if recently-imposed Chinese tariffs remain in place through the marketing year, said Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in its latest supply/demand estimates released March 21.
AAFC ups canola/pea ending stocks projections amid tariff woes
Geopolical risks and trade uncertainty may alter outlook
AAFC lowers canola ending stocks estimate
Canadian canola ending stocks for the 2024-25 marketing year are forecast to be tighter than earlier expectations, according to updated supply/demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC), released Oct. 21.
Tighter stocks, production in USDA report
The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) May World Agricultural Supply/Demand Estimates (WASDE) released May 10 featured the first production and ending stocks estimates for the 2024-25 marketing year.
Tightening canola ending stocks for 2024/25: AAFC
Canadian canola ending stocks will likely be tighter by the close of the upcoming 2024/25 marketing year, while the wheat carryout should rise, according to updated supply/demand estimates from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC), released March 19.
USDA raises U.S. carryout, tightens Brazilian production
World wheat carryout estimate downgraded, but well above previous year
Projected ending stocks of soybeans, corn and wheat in the United States were raised slightly higher in the latest supply/demand estimates from the United States Department of Agriculture, while production estimates for Brazil were revised lower.
Less Canadian wheat, more canola on hand to end 2023: StatCan
Some had anticipated even larger on-farm canola stocks, given slower export pace
Canadian wheat stocks at the end of 2023 were considerably tighter compared to the previous year, with oats, corn and pulse crops also seeing supply reductions, according to the latest stocks report from Statistics Canada, released Feb. 8, 2024. However, canola, barley and soybean stocks as of Dec. 31, 2023, were higher compared to the previous year.
Pulse weekly outlook: AAFC forecasts larger dry pea, lentil crops
Dry pea prices have seen gains over the week; lentils steady to higher
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada forecasted increases in the production of dry peas and lentils for the 2024/25 crop year compared to those in 2023/24. AAFC issued its first supply and demand report for the calendar year on Jan. 22, which included the department’s preliminary estimates for the coming crop year. The data was not based on farmer surveys or satellite models.
Early signs point to increased crop production in 2024/25: AAFC
Rotation, moisture, expected prices, costs among main factors expected in seeding decisions
A return to trend yields should see an increase in production for most of the major crops grown in Canada in the upcoming 2024/25 (Aug/Jul) marketing year, according to the first outlook for the season from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada released Jan. 22.
US corn stocks swell as world recovers from tighter supplies
Global corn ending stocks are projected to hit a six-year high in 2023/34
U.S. corn inventories last month swelled to their largest level since 2018, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said on Friday, as global supplies recover from multi-year lows.
IGC raises wheat, corn, cuts soybeans
IGC upped projected total grain ending stocks to 590.2 million tonnes
As the world’s supply of grain for 2023/24 was increased to 2.307 billion tonnes, the International Grain Council bumped its projections for wheat and corn, while trimming those for soybeans.
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