MarketsFarm — Hot and dry Prairie growing conditions helped ICE Futures canola contracts move higher to start the month of June, with weather forecasts likely to dictate where values move over the next few weeks. “We’re going into some very hot temperatures, and we’ll need another dose of rain in a week or two to […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Bare shelves keep all eyes on weather
ICE weekly outlook: Swings ahead for canola
MarketsFarm — If anything is certain for canola values, it’s that they are going to be swingy for the next while, according to Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. Canola bids, especially new-crop, have been on the downswing lately, largely due to precipitation the Prairies recently received. While the resulting moisture won’t rectify the […] Read more
Net long position in canola edging down
Net long increases in Chicago, K.C. wheat
MarketsFarm — The managed money net long position in canola has edged down over the past few months, hitting its lowest level since August 2020 in the latest Commitment of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of Tuesday, managed money fund traders were holding a net long position in ICE […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Attention turns to new-crop canola
'Somebody's feet will be held to the fire'
MarketsFarm — Wide price swings in the nearby ICE Futures July canola contract over the past few weeks have sent most commercial trade into the new-crop November, with direction in the front month hard to predict given recent volatility. “Where (July canola) finally goes off the board, I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Rain needed to bolster canola crop
MarketsFarm | Rain — specifically, the lack thereof — is quickly becoming the key issue for canola values, according to Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg. Until now, dry conditions across much of the Prairies have not been much a factor in canola prices, he said. “We’ve got to get some rain in a […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s uptrend intact for now
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market continued its months-long upward trajectory during the week ended Wednesday, hitting fresh contract highs in many months as tight old-crop supplies and weather uncertainty for the new crop kept speculators on the buy side. While selling was starting to come forward to temper gains in the new-crop months, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Challenging crop year ahead for canola
MarketsFarm — With declines in canola following Statistics Canada’s bullish-leaning projections for acres, it’s becoming more difficult to determine which way prices will trend in coming weeks and months. “Where are prices going to go? In any given year that’s challenging, especially in this year,” said David Derwin, analyst for PI Financial in Winnipeg. “That […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola’s uptrend still intact
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts climbed to fresh highs during the week ended Wednesday, with no end to the uptrend in sight from a fundamental standpoint. “We are in the middle of a demand-pull market… and the market has not yet done what it needs to do to accomplish the task of curtailing demand,” […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: For canola, the only certainty is volatility
"The market has to feel comfortable there’s a crop on the way"
MarketsFarm — After starting this week with losses, canola bounced back with back-to-back gains, raising prices by more than $20 per tonne for old-crop after falling back $4-$5 on Monday. Errol Anderson, an analyst with ProMarket Communications in Calgary, emphasized there will be a good amount of volatility in the markets, with wide swings possible […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola fundamentals still strong in volatile market
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts moved higher during the week ended Wednesday, with the largest gains in the old-crop months amid ongoing concerns over tight supplies. Day-to-day activity could remain volatile at times, but underlying fundamentals should remain supportive heading into the 2021 growing season, according to an analyst. While canola futures have traded […] Read more
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