This map shows the total amount of precipitation, compared to average, that has fallen across the Prairies during the 60-day period ending Nov. 7. This gives us a good idea of moisture levels heading into freeze-up. The map shows a large portion of the Prairies has seen above-average rainfall (blue regions) with the wettest areas found in Saskatchewan and western Manitoba. The only below-average areas are found in south-central Alberta and extreme far northwestern Alberta.


Will it be a typical La Niña winter on the Prairies this year?

La Niña usually brings more snow and colder temperatures, 
but some forecasts are painting a different picture for this year


Reading Time: 3 minutes After nearly 11 months of global record-setting temperatures, North America has had its turn seeing the warmest weather on the planet — at least when compared to average. I’ll have to admit: It really bugs me when people use the infamous line, “Where is global warming now?” every time temperatures in their region are colder […] Read more

This map shows the total amount of precipitation across the Prairies during the first two months of this summer as a departure from average. Areas that are dark yellow to brown have seen below-average amounts; light-yellow, blue and green areas are near average; and dark-green, blue and purple areas have seen above-average amounts. You can see a large portion of the Prairies has been relatively wet, with southeastern Alberta and southwestern Saskatchewan being the wettest, receiving between 100 millimetres to more than 120 millimetres more precipitation 
than average.

There’s a lot of truth in many sayings about the weather

Ones that predict what’s going to happen in the next little while 
make a lot of sense, but long-term predictions are pretty iffy

Reading Time: 3 minutes There are a number of different weather sayings, and weather folklore, that have their base in sound weather principles. For example, one of the most well-known sayings is, “Red sky at night, sailors delight. Red sky in the morning, sailors take warning.” This saying works pretty well and makes sense if you live in the […] Read more


This map shows the total amount of precipitation that fell across the Prairies during the first 28 days of this year’s growing season. You can quickly see that a large part of Alberta and Saskatchewan had a dry start to the growing season. In contrast, southeastern Alberta, southwestern Saskatchewan, and much of central and eastern Manitoba have been much wetter.

The heat’s been on for months — and there’s no end in sight

You could almost say winter ended three months ago, 
and the long-range forecasts are for more hot, dry weather

Reading Time: 3 minutes It’s been a rather remarkable spring across Alberta this year. Looking back at the weather records for 2016 you could almost say that spring arrived in February, with temperatures running over 6° above long-term averages. Those mild temperatures continued into March, with mean temperatures that were around 5 degrees above average. The big question after such […] Read more

This map shows the total amount of precipitation that fell across Alberta during the 30-day period ending on April 11. Southern and central regions, for the most part, were very dry, with most regions seeing less than 10 millimetres. The central and northern Peace Region was also quite dry. The wet areas were in the extreme southwest along with the Northern Region, where more than 55 millimetres of precipitation were reported in some areas.

An early spring may lead to an early start to thunderstorm season

These awe-inspiring storms are associated with hot, 
humid days — but they can form under other conditions, too

Reading Time: 3 minutes With a pretty warm first half of April across Alberta I won’t be surprised if we end up seeing an early start to thunderstorm season. So I figured that maybe we should have an early start to my annual look at thunderstorms. To begin with, we’ll need to talk about one of my weather pet peeves, […] Read more


This map shows the total amount of precipitation compared to average for the agricultural year which started in September 2015. Even with the light snow cover this winter, thanks to a wetter-than-average fall, precipitation amounts are around average across most of the Prairies. The exceptions are in parts of west-central Manitoba and northwestern Alberta.

Could this be one of the warmest springs on record?

AccuWeather is forecasting an exceptionally warm and dry spring — 
and it has good reasons for making such a bold prediction

Reading Time: 3 minutes AccuWeather came out early in February with its spring weather prediction, so I figured that maybe I should join in and take a look at what the different forecasters are calling for this spring. After all, meteorological spring starts on the first day of March (March-April-May). In what I think is a pretty bold move, AccuWeather […] Read more

This graphic shows monthly temperature anomalies across the U.S. during strong El Niño years — blue/green indicates cooler-than-average temperatures while red/orange are for warmer-than-average temperatures. While the map doesn’t cover Canada, it is fairly easy to imagine or extrapolate the data northward to cover most of the southern and central Prairies. Looking at the different maps, what really jumps out are the well-above-average December temperatures across the northern states. These warmer-than-average temperatures look to continue right through to the end of winter.

Dreaming of a warm Christmas? El Niño may grant your wish

Winter is still winter, but history says the El Niño 
phenomenon brings above-average temperatures


Reading Time: 3 minutes After a fairly mild first half of November, things have turned cooler and a little more wintery. While it’s beginning to look like winter might have moved in for good, the long-range models seem to be really hanging their hats on El Niño bringing more above-average temperatures in December and right through the rest of […] Read more


weather map of the Canadian prairies

What’s happening above when it comes down in buckets all day long

It’s been a dry spring, but we’re moving into the time 
of year when heavy rainfall events occur more frequently

Reading Time: 3 minutes So far this spring, a good portion of Alberta and Saskatchewan has not seen any heavy rainfall events. If you check out the map above you’ll see the large red and amber areas that represent rainfall amounts that are 60 per cent of average or less. Hopefully, my writing about heavy rainfall won’t put a jinx […] Read more

precipitation map of Alberta

What goes into the making of a heavy rainfall event

Ever wondered why it’s so muggy before some thunderstorms 
or why some have lulls between torrents of rain?

Reading Time: 3 minutes As we slowly slide into summer it seems an appropriate time to take a look at our next type of severe summer weather — heavy rainfall. Often, when you think of severe weather and heavy rainfall, you don’t put the two together. Oh sure, the Prairies can see huge dumps of rain, but we often dismiss […] Read more


This map shows the total amount of soil moisture in the top 60 centimetres relative to the long-term average. A good portion of agricultural Alberta currently has near to moderately high amounts of soil moisture, with a few pockets in the southeast and northwest having high to very high amounts. In between, there are some small scattered areas of moderately low to low amounts.

Wind is the wild card in the creation of dust storms

Sun and warm weather can quickly dry out fields, 
but those conditions don’t usually come with high winds

Reading Time: 3 minutes As I pointed out in the last article, instead of zeroing in on the main culprit of severe summer weather — the thunderstorm — I am going to look at each type of weather warning and outline just what type of weather pattern brings about the best chance of experiencing that warning. The first type […] Read more