Tight margins could get tighter amid trade instability as farmers prepare to seed this year’s crop, say Farm Credit Canada economists.

Trade instability likely to tighten 2025 crop profit margins says FCC
Farmers in both west and east unlikely to deviate much on seeded acres of canola, wheat, soy and corn despite volatility

Canada to seed more wheat, less canola in 2025: StatCan
Farmers also seeding more peas, corn and oats
Canadian farmers intend to plant more wheat and less canola in 2025, according to the first survey-based estimates for the upcoming growing season from Statistics Canada released March 12. Area seeded to corn, oats and peas is also expected to rise, while soybeans, barley and lentils are forecast to lose acres.

Canadian canola acres to dip in 2024, wheat steady: StatCan
Lower prices, moisture concerns cited; moisture has since improved somewhat
Canadian farmers intend to seed less canola in 2024 compared to the previous year, while overall wheat area should hold relatively steady, according to the latest Statistics Canada survey results released March 11.

Pulse weekly outlook: AAFC forecasts larger dry pea, lentil crops
Dry pea prices have seen gains over the week; lentils steady to higher
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada forecasted increases in the production of dry peas and lentils for the 2024/25 crop year compared to those in 2023/24. AAFC issued its first supply and demand report for the calendar year on Jan. 22, which included the department’s preliminary estimates for the coming crop year. The data was not based on farmer surveys or satellite models.

Early signs point to increased crop production in 2024/25: AAFC
Rotation, moisture, expected prices, costs among main factors expected in seeding decisions
A return to trend yields should see an increase in production for most of the major crops grown in Canada in the upcoming 2024/25 (Aug/Jul) marketing year, according to the first outlook for the season from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada released Jan. 22.

Canadian canola, wheat area up on the year: StatCan
More soybean, corn acres also estimated
MarketsFarm — Canadian farmers planted more canola than earlier intentions, according to updated acreage estimates from Statistics Canada released Wednesday. Meanwhile, wheat plantings hit their highest level in more than two decades. Total canola plantings were estimated at 22.1 million acres by the government agency, which compares with the 21.6 million expected in April and […] Read more

Drought fears, fertilizer may affect Canadian acreage estimates
MarketsFarm — Traders and analysts awaiting Statistics Canada’s first survey-based acreage report for the 2022-23 crop year on Tuesday believe competition amongst crops — as well as their dependence on fertilizer, and the possibility of another drought this summer — will be determining factors. Canola stands as the best representation of traders’ concerns. Despite reaching […] Read more

U.S. corn production expected way up in USDA’s May WASDE
MarketsFarm — There will be sharp increases in the United States’ 2020-21 corn production — and especially in ending stocks, according to the latest monthly supply and demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). The department issued its latest world agricultural supply and demand estimates (WASDE) on Tuesday. U.S. soybean planted acres and […] Read more

StatsCan: Less canola and durum, more barley and oats
MarketsFarm — Canadian farmers seeded fewer canola and durum acres than they originally intended, but more barley and oats, according to updated acreage estimates from Statistics Canada that largely came within expectations. StatsCan pegged planted Canadian canola area for 2019-20 (August to July) at 20.952 million acres, down by about 300,000 from the March survey […] Read more

Pulse weekly outlook: Chickpea prices remain low, future bright
MarketsFarm — Lower prices are expected to lead to a drop in Canadian chickpea acres in 2019, but the future is bright for the crop as new consumer markets gain popularity. Seeded acres for chickpeas almost quadrupled between 2017 and 2018, rising from 160,000 to 442,900, respectively. Since inventory from the 2018 growing season is […] Read more