MarketsFarm — Although the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) is set to issue its next supply and demand estimates on March 8, what’s going on in South America continues to dominate the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), according to Andrew Mages of Progressive Ag in Fargo, N.D. “Typically it’s not the most important report because […] Read more

CBOT weekly outlook: It still comes down to South America
Continent's soy situation conflicting

ICE weekly outlook: Canola drifting lower
Near-record soy still expected from South America
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts drifted lower during the week ended Wednesday, although values remained rangebound overall. “The market is maybe coming to the realization that we still have near-record South American (soybean) supplies on hand,” Ken Ball of PI Financial in Winnipeg said of the downtrend. While Argentina has suffered crop losses from […] Read more

Revisions possible for Argentina corn, wheat carryouts
USDA attache has eyes on drought conditions
MarketsFarm — There should be changes to 2022-23 Argentina corn and wheat endings stocks, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) attaché in Buenos Aires. The Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN) report cited a sharp increase in the carryover for corn and a smaller bump up when it came to wheat. The effects of […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: March canola unchanged from last week
Loonie's relative strength seen as drag on values
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market was once again trading rangebound for the week ended Wednesday, as the March contract was left unchanged from one week earlier at $828.20. The contract oscillated between a range of $819.40 and $837 per tonne during the week, all the while seemingly immune from larger price ranges seen […] Read more

Canadian grain exporters could see advantage
Reading Time: < 1 minute Canadian grain exporters may get a boost from Washington’s “deteriorating relationship” with China, CoBank says in its 2023 outlook. A number of trade disputes as well as tensions over Taiwan are spilling into the grain sector, the lender said in its outlook. “China has made it clear that it would like to minimize its dependence […] Read more

Bolivia farm region blocks borders, grain transport in protests
Santa Cruz/La Paz | Reuters — Protesters in Bolivia’s farming region of Santa Cruz are blocking highways out of the province, threatening to snarl the domestic transport of grains and food, as anger simmers following the arrest of local governor Luis Camacho. The region, a stronghold of the conservative opposition to socialist President Luis Arce, […] Read more

China to launch grain reserves company in 2023
Reuters — China’s state-owned grains trader COFCO said on Thursday a new joint venture it has set up with state stockpiler Sinograin to manage the country’s huge grain reserves will officially begin operations next month. The China Enterprise United Grain Reserve Co. Ltd. was established in September, according to the COFCO statement on its public […] Read more

ICE weekly: Canola regains strength after days of declines
MarketsFarm — After a losing string of four straight sessions, the ICE Futures March canola contract regained some strength on Wednesday. Limited and choppy trading in nearby soybean contracts had pulled down canola for most of the week, according to Winnipeg-based independent trader Jerry Klassen. “When the March got up to $868-$870 (per tonne)… there […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Canola still rangebound but upside possible
Crush margins expected to stay high for now
MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market traded within a certain range for the week ended Wednesday, but one trader believes that wide crush margins will take prices over the psychological resistance level. Since nearly hitting the $900 per tonne mark on Nov. 15, the January canola contract declined for eight straight sessions before going […] Read more

Fund position back to net short in canola
MGEX wheat also shifts to net short: CFTC
MarketsFarm — Heavy long-liquidation in ICE Futures canola saw the managed money speculative position flip back to a net short after a brief flirtation with a net long, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The weekly report was delayed one day due to last […] Read more