CNS Canada — Yields are generally beating earlier expectations as the harvest progresses across Western Canada, which should lead to upward revisions to canola and wheat when Statistics Canada releases its latest production survey results Friday. However, those numbers still may be underreported, and further revisions are expected in subsequent reports. “As the harvest is […] Read more
Next StatsCan survey expected to show larger canola, wheat crops
U.S. grains: Prices slide on China worries, harvest progress
Reuters — U.S. grain and soybean futures slid Monday, pressured by a broad sell-off in commodity and equity markets and progress by U.S. farmers in harvesting crops. Soybeans tumbled more than one per cent, while Chicago wheat slipped off its earlier one-month high. Corn also declined. “This will be one of the biggest weeks in […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola looking overpriced
CNS Canada –– ICE Futures Canada canola contracts moved lower in sympathy with CBOT soybeans during the week ended Wednesday, and could have more room to the downside as the Canadian oilseed remains overpriced compared to its U.S. counterpart. The canola premium compared to soybeans is the same now as earlier in the summer, when […] Read more
StatsCan raises wheat, canola estimates with new model
CNS Canada — Wheat and canola production are expected to be higher than in previous estimates, but still lower than in 2014, according to a new Statistics Canada model for field crop production estimates. The model-based report, released Thursday, pegs this year’s spring wheat production at 18.4 million tonnes, higher than previously forecast in the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola weak, but finding support
CNS Canada — ICE Futures Canada canola contracts posted losses in most months during the week ended Wednesday, though the market uncovered some support to the downside and finds itself well off its nearby lows. The larger-than-expected old-crop stocks uncovered by Statistics Canada in its September 3 report remain a bearish influence overhanging the market. […] Read more
Cattle herd still shrinking in StatsCan estimates
The size of Canada’s cattle herd is still in decline and almost a quarter smaller than its peak in 2005, Statistics Canada reports. The federal statistics agency on Thursday released estimates showing the herd at 13 million cattle on farms on July 1 this year, down 2.1 per cent from the same date in 2014. […] Read more
StatsCan production estimates ‘too low’ for canola, wheat
CNS Canada — Statistics Canada released its first survey-based production estimates for the 2015-16 crop year Friday morning, with canola and wheat figures coming in at the lower end of expectations. But the grain trade is shrugging off the report, as it believes final production numbers for most crops will be larger than what Statistics […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Further weakness in store for canola
CNS Canada –– The ICE Futures Canada canola market moved lower during the week ended Wednesday, breaking below the key support level of C$480 per tonne in the November contract. With the technical bias pointed lower, further weakness is expected to be in store for the commodity. “I think the ideas in the trade are […] Read more
Trade expects mostly smaller crops in StatsCan report
CNS Canada –– Statistics Canada will release its first survey-based Canadian crop production estimates for 2015-16 on Friday, and figures for most major crops are expected to be down compared to last year. Yields are likely to be all over the map as weather conditions varied vastly from region to region during the growing season. […] Read more
Short-term barley prices seen likely to downtrend
CNS Canada — Feed barley prices are moving slowly with hand-to-mouth buying as the crop moves into harvest, when already low prices will likely hit a downtrend. However, prices will likely recover into autumn, depending on how farmers choose to act, from where one market analyst sits. “If the farmers aren’t willing to sell at […] Read more
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