MarketsFarm – There’s the possibility of the nearby January canola contract reaching upwards to C$1,000 per tonne, according Winnipeg-based analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain. “I think you got canola somewhere in the winter months maybe trading close to $1,000 again in January,” he said. Palmer placed his suggestion on the sharp upticks that soyoil […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Watch for canola to climb higher
Manitoba nets average crops in 2022 after wet spring
MarketsFarm – Wet spring conditions delayed seeding operations across much of Manitoba to start the 2022 growing season, but warm summer conditions allowed for good development with yields for most crops showing a marked improvement over the drought-stricken 2021 harvest, according to the final crop report of the season from Manitoba Agriculture. On a crop-by-crop […] Read more
Strong commodity prices to continue: FCC
Reading Time: < 1 minute Farm Credit Canada is forecasting “another year of excellent crop prices,” albeit with big declines for some crops. The ag lender predicts canola will average $870 a tonne this crop year, which is $100 below the 2021-22 average but well above the five-year average of $490. FCC forecasts spring wheat prices to average $430 a tonne […] Read more
Crystal balls are even more wonky this year
The uncertainty factor is as high as fertilizer prices right now
Reading Time: 4 minutes Farmers face tough choices about purchasing fertilizer for next year. Buy now? Or roll the dice and hope prices fall? There are reports of price dips in some countries because farmers are balking at the high cost. But the fundamentals aren’t good, said one American fertilizer analyst. “I think prices are going to see continued […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Sideways canola market due for a move
MarketsFarm – The ICE Futures canola market largely held within its well-established sideways trading range during the week ended Oct. 26, with only the nearby November contract breaking higher as short-covering ahead of its expiry gave the month a boost. The January contract has held in a narrow range between C$860 and C$880 per tonne […] Read more
AAFC tweaks some numbers as canola, pulses remain unchanged
MarketsFarm – While Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada made some changes in its October supply and demand estimates from September, the department didn’t make any alterations to its data for canola, pulses and special crops. The department released its report during the late afternoon of Oct. 21. Of the grains and oilseeds, AAFC’s most notable revisions […] Read more
Alberta crop yields top 10-year average
Reading Time: < 1 minute With harvest mostly complete, dryland yields were running about six per cent above the 10-year-average, although that varied considerably across Alberta. Aggregate yields for the five major crops (wheat, barley, canola, peas and oats) were just slightly below the 10-year average in the south and northwest. They were seven per cent higher in the northeast, […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola sees choppy, sideways month-end trade
Wide crush margins remain bullish
MarketsFarm –– ICE Futures canola contracts held within a narrow range during the week ended Wednesday, lacking any clear direction with the rolling of positions out of the nearby November contract ahead of its expiry behind much of the trade volumes. “We’re stuck a little rangebound here,” a Winnipeg-based trader said of the sideways activity, […] Read more
Tough calls: canola marketing is extra complex in an unstable world
Pull the trigger or hold and hope? That perennial question is even more complicated this year
Reading Time: 3 minutes With the most expensive crop ever planted mostly in the bin and the world becoming more unstable by the day, farmers face complex choices for canola marketing. Should they sell what hasn’t been contracted to take advantage of prices hovering around $19 per bushel in early October? Or should they hold and wait for another […] Read more
Railways in the spotlight as shipping season begins
CN and CP say they’ll get the job done but shippers and farmers are concerned
Reading Time: 4 minutes Another chapter in the great Canadian rail transport soap opera may be unfolding. The tempestuous couple — railroads and grain farmers — is on the cusp of another argument over harvest shipping. And there’s no alternative for producers. They’re locked into the relationship. Will CN Rail and CP Rail, which struggled to move a 49-million […] Read more