Statistics Canada will release its first survey-based production estimates for the 2025/26 crop year on Dec. 4, with general expectations for upward revisions to most major crops from the model-based estimates in September. However, as StatCan has shown a tendency to underestimate production in its December reports, many analysts expect actual production may be revised upward in subsequent reports.
Calling for bigger crops ahead of StatCan report
Feed Grains Weekly: Good export demand pushing up domestic prices
Prices for feed barley and wheat have been trending higher lately, said analyst Jerry Klassen of Resilient Capital in Winnipeg.
Prairie Wheat Weekly: Spring prices vary as durum nudges up
Spring wheat cash prices varied across the Prairies for the week ended Nov. 25, while those for durum were slightly higher. Losses in the United States wheat complex weighed on prices north of the border, while support came from a weaker Canadian dollar.
AAFC makes few changes to November S/D report
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada made only a handful of alterations for its November report on principal field crops. The only changes AAFC made were with all wheat and durum exports plus domestic use for all wheat and corn in the estimates released on Nov. 24. The report had been initially scheduled for Nov. 19, but AAFC said they chose to delay it until after the United States Department of Agriculture issued its November supply and demand estimates following the U.S. government shutdown.
USDA predicts more wheat in Australia, smaller crops elsewhere
Australia will grow more wheat in 2025/26 than earlier expectations, but production will likely be down on the year in Turkey and Kazakhstan, according to several attaché reports released by the United States Department of Agriculture on Nov. 20, as it continues to catch up following the federal government shutdown.
CBOT Weekly: Trade awaits USDA S/D report
Regardless of the United States government shutdown ending soon or not, the Department of Agriculture is set to issue its supply and demand report on Nov. 14. The USDA cancelled its October edition of World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates due to the shutdown and pushed back their November report a few days.
Notable changes in exports to China, India
China and India figured prominently in the September export data issued by the Canadian Grain Commission on Nov. 7. For the most part, the CGC’s numbers highlighted issues with grain, oilseed and pulse exports from licensed facilities to those countries.
Sigurdson applauds Alberta farmers
With Alberta’s harvest virtually wrapped up for 2025, provincial Agriculture Minister RJ Sigurdson offered the government’s congratulations to the province’s farmers.
Most of Manitoba harvest wraps up for 2025
Manitoba Agriculture issued its final crop report of 2025, showing the overall provincewide harvest at 97 per cent complete as of Oct. 20. Nearly all major crops have finished combining, with 37 per cent of Manitoba’s sunflowers finished, plus 71 per cent of grain corn and small amounts of soybeans and potatoes left to do.
Feed Grains Weekly: Prices in holding pattern
Feed prices on the Canadian Prairies are likely to remain steady for the time being, said Brandon Motz, a manager at CorNine Commodities in Lacombe, Alta.
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