Trade discussions between Canada and the United States as well as dry weather have driven canola’s rally on the Intercontinental Exchange during the week ended July 2, 2025.

ICE Weekly: Trade talks, weather lifting canola prices
Multiple factors driving canola’s rally

Big global wheat crop expected to pressure prices
World wheat stocks could climb to 271 million tonnes by the end of 2025-26, up from 264 million tonnes at the end of 2024-25
Reading Time: 3 minutes Analysts say a larger than expected global crop of wheat means there will be plenty to go around in 2025-26.

China seeks improved ties with Canada amid rising trade tensions
Carney and Li agreed to establish regular communication channels
China called on Friday for steps to improve bilateral ties with Canada, saying there were no deep-seated conflicts of interest, following a spike in trade tensions with many of Beijing’s Western trade partners this year.

New agriculture minister hopes to engage farmers
Heath MacDonald says interprovincial trade and Pest Management Regulatory Agency reform are among his priorities
New federal agriculture minister Heath MacDonald hopes to engage farmers across Canada on the issues that matter most.

US beef off the menu as the trade war hits Beijing’s American-style restaurants
US beef exports to China worth $125 million a month at risk
Beijing | Reuters – At Home Plate BBQ, an American-style restaurant in Beijing, staff are reprinting menus. The U.S.-China trade war means American beef – once the star ingredient – will soon be off the table. Home Plate’s beef, previously sourced entirely from the U.S., is increasingly Australian. The restaurant uses about 7 to 8 […] Read more

Trump triggers trade war with tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico
Canada to retaliate
U.S. President Donald Trump's new 25 per cent tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada took effect on Tuesday, along with a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20 per cent, sparking trade wars that could slam economic growth and lift prices for Americans still smarting from years of high inflation.

Pulse Weekly: Yellow peas slip as India pauses levy cut
Yellow pea bids in Western Canada are coming under pressure, while green pea prices hold steady.

ICE weekly outlook: Canola likely to keep sliding back
With larger crop, trade likely to be overwhelmed by deliveries, analyst says
There is a rather significant bearish outlook for canola for the rest of December, according to Jerry Klassen of Resilient Commodity Analysis. He said a large part of this was generated by the Statistics Canada production report released on Dec. 4.

Weather Network predicts mild winter, with caveats
Colder scenario expected for East
MarketsFarm — Strong El Niño conditions that have developed in the Pacific Ocean would typically lead to a milder winter across Canada — but other factors this year could challenge that outlook, according to the winter forecast from The Weather Network, released Wednesday. The winter forecast features a mild start to the season, with a […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Canola prices could rebound
'There's nothing all that exciting to look at'
MarketsFarm — Winnipeg-based trader Ken Ball from PI Financial is cautiously optimistic that canola prices can rebound in the short term. The January canola contract closed at $702.30 per tonne on Wednesday a weekly loss of $7.40. The contract fell below the $700 level on U.S. Thanksgiving on Nov. 23, a day with little volume. […] Read more