MarketsFarm — The ICE Futures canola market hit its lowest levels in three months on the last trading day of September but has since uncovered some support in the first days of October. Canola “has found a level where it’s stabilized, but there’s not a lot of life right now,” said Ken Ball of PI […] Read more

ICE weekly outlook: Canola looking for a spark
Recent declines in crude oil, diesel seen as bearish

NFU report adjusts sequestration, fuel emissions numbers
Uncertainty about absolute numbers isn’t the same as uncertainty about trends: author
Reading Time: 2 minutes Canadian agriculture is sequestering more carbon than originally thought, but it’s also burning more diesel fuel, according to a new report from the National Farmers Union. In August, the NFU released the third edition of its Agriculture Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Canada report. It reflected updated information from the latest national inventory that the federal […] Read more

Extent of Saudi oil production cut unclear
Reported tensions within OPEC limit price gains
MarketsFarm — At the OPEC+ meeting Sunday in Vienna, Saudi Arabia announced it will cut its oil production by one million barrels per day (BPD) come July. And while that move was bullish for the markets, by how much remains to be seen, said Phil Flynn of the Price Futures Group in Chicago. “It’s probably […] Read more

Peak diesel prices may be ending but at a price
Analyst says softening economy should push down fuel prices, but that could hit farmers in other ways
Reading Time: 4 minutes Farmers could soon see some relief from high diesel fuel prices but they may not like how it happens, says a Calgary energy analyst. Canada is shortly going to feel the effects of last year’s ground-breaking interest rate hikes, complete with slowdowns in the economy, the GDP and consumer demand, said Vijay Muralidharan. With that […] Read more

Renewable diesel demand expected to soar in next two years
Canola production poised to jump as new facilities come on stream in next two years
Reading Time: 4 minutes Renewable diesel production is poised to take off in the next five years and the coming boom is great news for canola growers, says the Canadian Oilseeds Processors Association. “For canola crush, in terms of possible capacity growth in the years to come, we could see almost six million tonnes of increased capacity based on […] Read more

Bunge expects U.S. renewable diesel capacity of about five billion gallons by 2024
Chicago | Reuters — U.S. renewable diesel production capacity will more than double to about five billion gallons by 2024 from about two billion gallons, Bunge CEO Greg Heckman said on Tuesday. The agricultural commodities trader has not altered its own capacity plans due to a U.S. government proposal on biofuels announced last week, Heckman […] Read more

Suncor to keep its Petro-Canada retail fuel business
Reuters — Suncor Energy on Tuesday said it will retain its Petro-Canada gas station retail business following a review the company initiated earlier this year under pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management. Suncor replaced its CEO in July and agreed to review its retail fuel unit by the end of this year after Elliott […] Read more

Opinion: It’s not just oil production that’s keeping diesel prices high
Refinery production has fallen since the pandemic, and that’s unlikely to change
Reading Time: 3 minutes Reuters – Global shortages of middle distillates such as diesel, gas oil and heating oil are intensifying rather than easing, making it more likely a relatively severe slowdown in the business cycle will be necessary to rebalance the market. U.S. inventories of distillate fuel oil fell to 106 million barrels in early October, the lowest […] Read more

Surge in U.S. renewable diesel supply won’t offset loss of petroleum diesel
Reuters — A flood of U.S. renewable diesel plants set to come online in the next three years will not be enough to offset the loss of petroleum diesel refining capacity from plant closings since 2019, a Reuters analysis of federal data shows. U.S. refining capacity has declined in the last two years, as plants […] Read more

‘Petro-plectic’ anger rises toward fuel prices
Fuel refiners seen booking 'epic' revenues
MarketsFarm — Fuel prices are very likely to continue to increase with summer approaching, according to Tom Kloza, the Florida-based global head of energy analysis for Oil Price Information Services. “I wish I could say there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, but I would say right now, it’s just a flicker,” he […] Read more