There is a 60 per cent chance of a shift in the climate phenomenon known as La Niña towards El Niño in February-April 2026. This pattern, known as ENSO-neutral, likely to persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center said on Thursday.
U.S. forecaster sees signs of La Niña shift towards El Niño conditions in early 2026
Prairie forecast: Mild pattern holds across the Prairies
Weather models show the current weak, westerly flow holding in place, which means more quiet and mild weather across the Prairies.
Winterkill threat minimal for Northern Hemisphere crops
Reading Time: 2 minutes The recent cold snap in North America has raised the possibility of winterkill damage in the U.S. Hard Red Winter and Soft Red Winter growing regions.
Prairie forecast: Above-average temperatures across Prairies
The Feb. 4 to 11 forecast looks mostly warm across Saskatchewan, Alberta and Manitoba with chances of light precipitation in Manitoba.
What’s the weather for last half of winter 2025-2026?
A last look at 2025 temperature and precipitation on the Prairies, plus what weather forecasters expect through to March 2026
Reading Time: 4 minutes A last look at 2025 temperature and precipitation on the Prairies, plus what weather forecasters expect through to spring 2026.
Prairie forecast: Warmer temperatures but east Prairies still cool
Temperatures will moderate across the Prairies between Jan. 28 and Feb. 4, 2026, though a clear west-to-east gradient will remain
Prairie forecast: Extended cold snap as Arctic high pressure moves in
.
Artic high pressure will dominate Prairie weather between January 21 and 28, which means a low chance of storms or significant precipitation.
The lowdown on winter storms on the Prairies
It takes more than just a trough of low pressure to kick up a memorable winter storm
Reading Time: 4 minutes It takes more than just a trough of low pressure to develop an Alberta Clipper or Colorado Low, which are the biggest winter storms in Manitoba. It also takes humidity, temperature changes and a host of other variables coming into play.
Prairie forecast: Mild start before winter pushes back in
For this forecast period, we are starting with a fairly sharp ridge of high pressure over Western Canada and a deep trough of low pressure over Ontario. This setup will keep Alberta and the western half of Saskatchewan in milder air, while Manitoba sees a quick return to more winter-like temperatures.
U.S. CPC sees 75 per cent chance of La Niña transition by early 2026
La Niña continues to persist, with a 75 per cent chance of a transition to ENSO-neutral conditions likely between January and March, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center said on Thursday.