MarketsFarm — Canada’s coming canola harvest, if lower than projected, would add tremendous pressure to prices as supplies could become much tighter than they have, according to trader Ken Ball with PI Financial in Winnipeg. Ball believes the 2021-22 canola harvest could be as low as 16 million to 17 million tonnes, well below the […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Expensive canola required
Will seasonal grain pricing hold this year?
Reading Time: < 1 minute If you’re expecting history to repeat itself, sell some canola soon or wait until post-harvest. Prices tend to follow a set pattern over the course of the year, says provincial crops market analyst Neil Blue. A chart using price data from 2011 to 2020 and a baseline of 100 shows prices rise to above 104 […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Volatility to come for canola market
'Tighten up your seatbelt'
MarketsFarm — Record-breaking temperatures in British Columbia, lingering extreme heat in the Prairie provinces and little to no precipitation have strengthened an ongoing rally in the ICE Futures canola market. One trader, however, warns that canola contracts may be in for a mercurial few weeks. “We’re clearly in a weather market that is extremely volatile,” […] Read more
U.S. grains: Corn, soy mixed ahead of plantings, stocks reports
Canadian farmers expand canola acres
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Board of Trade corn and soybean futures were mixed on Tuesday as traders adjusted positions ahead of key U.S. reports on crop plantings and inventories. The U.S. Department of Agriculture on Wednesday is expected to increase its estimate for corn plantings by about three per cent from March, according to […] Read more
The crush is coming — will canola growers roll the rotation dice?
Reading Time: 4 minutes Shortening rotations to meet demand from a spate of new crush plants will backfire, say experts Prairie canola growers will need to up production to meet the growing demand from a rash of new crush plants in Saskatchewan. But they won’t get there by sacrificing sustainability, says the Canola Council of Canada. “For us, it’s […] Read more
Canada’s canola acres up from earlier forecast
Wheat acres up; barley, oats, corn revised lower
MarketsFarm –– Canadian farmers seeded more canola in 2021 than originally intended, with a number of other crops also seeing adjustments higher as dry weather through the planting season allowed for a fast seeding pace. In its June estimates of principal field crop areas, released Tuesday, Statistics Canada pegged total canola planted area at 22.5 […] Read more
Canola, wheat acres in opposite trends before StatsCan report
'Every commodity was offering options that were profitable'
MarketsFarm — Just days prior to Statistics Canada issuing its latest survey-based crop acreage report on Tuesday next week, analysts are estimating a rise in canola acres at the expense of wheat. “Coming through the winter and towards spring seeding, we were looking at canola prices that were at their highest levels of all time,” […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Weather, carryout support canola
MarketsFarm — As higher-than-normal temperatures become almost a weekly occurrence in Western Canada amidst tightening carryout stocks, canola seems primed for another extended rally. Despite rains in Western Canada over the past three weeks, providing some relief for canola crops and triggering fund liquidation on the markets, carryout remains very low, with warmer temperatures exacerbating […] Read more
Flea beetles a nuisance for canola crop
[UPDATED: June 22, 2021] MarketsFarm — Western Canada’s canola crop has been hit hard by hot, dry weather so far this growing season in the midst of ongoing drought conditions — which may also be aiding another threat. *Across the Prairies, flea beetles are an oft-seen pest that feeds on both canola and mustard seedlings, […] Read more
U.S. refiners amass biofuel liability as Biden mulls relief
Open RIN positions could hit refiners' earnings
New York | Reuters — U.S. merchant refiners have amassed up to a US$1.6 billion shortfall in the credits they will need to comply with U.S. biofuel laws, according to a Reuters review of corporate disclosures, an apparent bet that the Biden administration could let them off the hook or that credit prices will fall. […] Read more
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