MarketsFarm — As 2022 comes to an end, a trader stated the commodities market will very likely remain rangebound through the New Year. Ken Ball, of PI Financial in Winnipeg, said there’s heavy spreading, as well as the maneuvering of year-end positions and plenty of liquidation going on at the moment, “all trapped in a […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Markets rangebound into the New Year
ICE canola plays catch-up on CBOT gains
Renewable diesel demand expected to soar in next two years
Canola production poised to jump as new facilities come on stream in next two years
Reading Time: 4 minutes Renewable diesel production is poised to take off in the next five years and the coming boom is great news for canola growers, says the Canadian Oilseeds Processors Association. “For canola crush, in terms of possible capacity growth in the years to come, we could see almost six million tonnes of increased capacity based on […] Read more
ICE weekly: Canola regains strength after days of declines
MarketsFarm — After a losing string of four straight sessions, the ICE Futures March canola contract regained some strength on Wednesday. Limited and choppy trading in nearby soybean contracts had pulled down canola for most of the week, according to Winnipeg-based independent trader Jerry Klassen. “When the March got up to $868-$870 (per tonne)… there […] Read more
Large gap between StatCan, USDA canola estimates
USDA sticks closer to StatCan expectations on wheat
MarketsFarm — There’s a significant difference in the amount of canola grown in Canada during 2022-23, in the estimate from Statistics Canada (StatCan) compared to that from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Earlier in December, StatCan’s survey-based production of principal field crops report pegged this year’s canola harvest at 18.17 million tonnes. That’s a […] Read more
AAFC raises canola stocks projection, despite smaller crop
Department also trims wheat ending stocks
MarketsFarm — Canadian canola ending stocks for 2022-23 were revised higher by Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in its latest supply/demand estimates, released Friday. The larger carryout projection came despite a downward revision to production, as both exports and domestic usage were also down from the November report. The government agency now sees canola carryout of […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Canola trade’s focus on South America
Canola still entrenched in $800-$900 range
MarketsFarm — ICE Futures canola contracts held relatively rangebound during the week ended Wednesday, looking for some direction to push values one way or the other. “We’re just watching South American weather now,” said Jaimie Wilton, commodities futures specialist with RJ O’Brien in Winnipeg, pointing to the drought in Argentina and the relatively favourable conditions […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Less canola to be exported
Crop expectations from Canada, Australia are factors
MarketsFarm — Any hopes of Canada exporting 9.3 million tonnes of canola during 2022-23 have now been dashed for two reasons. One reason is the latest Statistics Canada production report that cut canola production for the current marketing year. The other is the bumper canola crop Australia is now expected to have this year. StatCan’s […] Read more
Australia looking at record wheat, canola crops
Near-record winter crop output expected
MarketsFarm — Australia is forecast to harvest record-large wheat and canola crops in 2022-23, with improved crop prospects in many parts of the country more than offsetting losses in others. That analysis comes from the latest crop report from the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), released Tuesday. Total production of […] Read more
Grain movement stats are a window into the market
Weekly numbers from the grain commission give near real-time data on deliveries and exports
Reading Time: 2 minutes Keep an eye on the weekly numbers for producer deliveries and grain exports, says a provincial crops market analyst. “Weekly updates from the Canadian Grain Commission provide useful crop market movement and demand information,” said Neil Blue. The grain commission data covers grain and oilseeds moved in bulk (it doesn’t include container shipments) and it […] Read more
Speculative short position grows in canola
Managed money still net long in soybeans
MarketsFarm — Speculators in the ICE Futures canola were busy liquidating long positions and adding to the short side of the market during the last week of November. That’s caused the net short position to grow to its largest level in two months, according to the latest Commitments of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the […] Read more
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