MarketsFarm – There’s a looming problem that’s on the verge of surfacing in the Canadian canola market – many growers will be unable to fulfill their contracts due to lower production. The drought across the Prairies dashed canola production estimates from the initially anticipated 20 million tonnes, to something that could be in the range […] Read more
ICE weekly outlook: Major canola supply issues ahead
Will seasonal grain pricing hold this year?
Reading Time: < 1 minute If you’re expecting history to repeat itself, sell some canola soon or wait until post-harvest. Prices tend to follow a set pattern over the course of the year, says provincial crops market analyst Neil Blue. A chart using price data from 2011 to 2020 and a baseline of 100 shows prices rise to above 104 […] Read more
Wide base of customers aids canola market
Reading Time: < 1 minute Demand from China has been the headline factor in the price rise for canola (and a lot of other commodities) but the oilseed is also benefiting from a diversified export base, says provincial market analyst Neil Blue. While China has greatly ramped up its purchases and long-term buyer Japan sits in the No. 2 spot, […] Read more
Grain prices reach near-record highs with no end in sight
They could go higher yet, but take advantage now to lock in some of next year’s crop, say experts
Reading Time: 4 minutes The best cure for high prices is prices — as the old saying goes — but Canadian grain producers may be able to ride the current highs for a little longer yet. “We’re approaching all-time highs in a number of commodities right now, and historically, the faster things go up, the faster they inevitably go […] Read more
2020 grain market review: The year that felt like a decade
MarketsFarm – The column in this space a year ago led with the line ‘the more things change, the more they stay the same.’ That line was a jumping off point for a decade-in-review piece pointing out some of the through lines of the grain markets during the previous ten years. Well, the pandemic hit […] Read more
Feed weekly outlook: High demand keeps bids strong
MarketsFarm — Feed grain prices in Western Canada have come off of recent highs but remain “higher than what feeders like to see.” That’s according to Brandon Motz of CorNine Commodities ar Lacombe, Alta., who said feed grains are still in a “high-demand market,” with spot prices for feed barley and wheat around $260-$265 per […] Read more
Managed money backing out of bearish canola bets
MarketsFarm – Fund traders were backing out of bearish bets in canola while actively putting on new longs during the week ended July 21, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (CoT) report compiled by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The net managed money short position in ICE Futures canola came in […] Read more
Wheat could be a pleasant surprise on the upside this winter
A lot of grain has moved during the pandemic, analysts are hoping for some ‘fireworks’ in the market
Reading Time: 4 minutes The market for Canada’s wheat shows promise, even if no one can say that it’s going to be a clear winner. “It’s not like we’re going to see the doubling of prices,” said Brennan Turner, chief executive officer of FarmLead. “There are a number of variables that are likely to push wheat prices higher than […] Read more
USDA’s July WASDE has little effect on markets
U.S. Midwest weather likely having greater effect
MarketsFarm — There were some notable changes in the carryovers for corn, soybeans and wheat in the July supply and demand report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture released Friday. However, the monthly world agriculture supply and demand estimates (WASDE) had very little effect on the markets, according to MarketsFarm analyst Mike Jubinville. “I think […] Read more
Grain price slump attracts bargain-hunting by importers
Hamburg | Reuters — The collapse in grain prices caused by concern about the global impact of the COVID-19 coronavirus has generated some bargain-buying by importing countries, traders said on Tuesday. But they said the extent was still limited and there were no signs importers were making especially large purchases to expand stocks. “We are […] Read more
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